arXiv:2510. 17088v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial anomalies arise from heterogeneous mechanisms - price shocks, liquidity freezes, contagion cascades, and momentum reversals - yet existing detectors produce uniform anomaly scores without revealing which mechanism is failing or where risks concentrate.
By Zan Li, Rui Fan
arXiv:2607. 16811v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We revisit Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) as a lightweight, interpretable tool for anomaly detection and, in particular, for detecting distributional drift in data streams.
By Behnam Asadi
arXiv:2607. 17555v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting extreme price movements in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task due to non-stationarity, heavy-tailed return distributions, and severe class imbalance.
By Maorufa Zaman, Haris Md Sahed
arXiv:2607. 12454v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) is essential for reliability and safety in domains such as industrial process monitoring and financial risk management, yet conventional approaches rely on application-specific models that are costly to train and hard to scale.
By Martin Uray, Saverio Messineo, Roland Kwitt, Stefan Huber
Predicting extreme price movements in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task due to non-stationarity, heavy-tailed return distributions, and severe class imbalance. In particular, rare but impactful events are often difficult to detect using conventional modeling approaches, which typically treat extreme movements as isolated observations.
arXiv:2512. 07569v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable forecasting of multivariate time series under anomalous conditions is crucial in applications such as ATM cash logistics, where sudden demand shifts can disrupt operations.
By Joel Ekstrand, Tor Mattsson, Zahra Taghiyarrenani, Slawomir Nowaczyk, Jens Lundstr\"om, Mikael Lind\'en
arXiv:2604. 17616v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems.
By Shashank Mishra, Karan Patil, Cedric Schockaert, Didier Stricker, Jason Rambach
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.
By Jiaze Sun, Kelvin J. L. Koa, Ruiyang Ni, Yize Liu, Haonan Chen, Ke-Wei Huang
arXiv:2607. 14174v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial sentiment extraction has largely relied on news text and supervised extraction against return labels alone, leaving 10-K filings -- and volatility, the target risk disclosure is arguably best suited to informing -- comparatively unexplored.
By Sanggyu Sean Choi
arXiv:2606. 25007v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial fraud detection in digital banking requires reasoning over multiple heterogeneous event streams -- transactions, login sessions, risk signals -- that individually appear benign but collectively reveal fraudulent patterns.
By Mohammadamin Dashti Moghaddam, Nick Sciarrilli
arXiv:2608. 11801v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series anomaly prediction aims to identify whether and when anomalies will occur over a future horizon from historical observations.
By Yian Wei, Yuanyuan Yao, Lu Chen, Xiangmin Zhou, Tianyi Li
arXiv:2605. 30363v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Regime shifts in financial markets reorganise the joint dynamics of asset prices and macro variables, breaking any single-regime calibration.
By Mingxuan Yi, Vidal Mehra, Jing Chen, John Cartlidge