arXiv Machine Learning

Extreme Volatility Warning under Label Scarcity via Multi-Source Anomaly Fusion

arXiv:2607. 23682v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Early warning of extreme market volatility is central to financial risk management, but actionable events are rare, nonstationary, and often triggered by exogenous information shocks.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 15

Exploring Zero-Shot Foundation Models for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

arXiv:2607. 12454v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) is essential for reliability and safety in domains such as industrial process monitoring and financial risk management, yet conventional approaches rely on application-specific models that are costly to train and hard to scale.

By Martin Uray, Saverio Messineo, Roland Kwitt, Stefan Huber
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 20

Volatility-Aware Extreme Event Detection in High-Frequency Financial Markets

Predicting extreme price movements in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task due to non-stationarity, heavy-tailed return distributions, and severe class imbalance. In particular, rare but impactful events are often difficult to detect using conventional modeling approaches, which typically treat extreme movements as isolated observations.

arXiv AI
Jun 30

Weighted Contrastive Learning for Anomaly-Aware Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2512. 07569v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable forecasting of multivariate time series under anomalous conditions is crucial in applications such as ATM cash logistics, where sudden demand shifts can disrupt operations.

By Joel Ekstrand, Tor Mattsson, Zahra Taghiyarrenani, Slawomir Nowaczyk, Jens Lundstr\"om, Mikael Lind\'en