arXiv AI

Expert-Guided g-computation with Large Language Models for Estimating Causal Effects on Timings: Applications to Hospital Quality Improvement

arXiv:2608. 10339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Hospital quality improvement (QI) programs routinely face multiple candidate interventions to optimize hospital flow, but existing methods struggle to estimate and rank the causal effects of such interventions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 5

Causal Inference with Unstructured Outcomes

arXiv:2608. 03085v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal inference has traditionally centered on scalar outcomes: whether a patient recovers, how much a worker earns, or how many visits a website receives.

By Kevin Christian Wibisono, Yixin Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

EHR2Path: Comprehensive Pathway-Level Modeling of Longitudinal Patient Trajectories from Multimodal Electronic Health Records

arXiv:2506. 04831v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Forecasting how a patient's condition is likely to evolve, including possible deterioration, recovery, treatment needs, and care transitions, could support more proactive and personalized care, but requires modeling heterogeneous and longitudinal electronic health record (EHR) data.

By Chantal Pellegrini, Ege \"Ozsoy, David Bani-Harouni, Matthias Keicher, Nassir Navab
arXiv Computation and Language
Aug 28

CARE: Causally-Aligned Reasoning Exploration for Medical Large Language Models

CARE: Causally-Aligned Reasoning Exploration for Medical Large Language Models proposes a new framework to improve medical reasoning in LLMs. It introduces two key conditions—Causal Sufficiency and Proximal Learnability—to curate high-quality training trajectories, using agreement-based self-verification and dynamic entropy bounds. Experiments on medical multimodal and text-only benchmarks show that CARE outperforms competitors, reducing incorrect reasoning and enhancing training stability.

By Yucheng Zhou, Peng Luo, Qianning Wang, Chengzhong Xu, Jianbing Shen
arXiv AI
Aug 20

CausalProfiler: Generating Synthetic Benchmarks for Rigorous and Transparent Evaluation of Causal Machine Learning

CausalProfiler is a synthetic benchmark generator designed to evaluate causal machine learning (Causal ML) methods more rigorously and transparently. It randomly samples causal models, data, queries, and ground truths based on explicit design choices across observation, intervention, and counterfactual reasoning levels, providing coverage guarantees and transparent assumptions. The authors demonstrate its utility by testing several state‑of‑the‑art methods under diverse conditions, both within and outside the identification regime, highlighting the insights CausalProfiler can reveal.

By Panayiotis Panayiotou, Audrey Poinsot, Alessandro Leite, Nicolas Chesneau, Marc Schoenauer, \"Ozg\"ur \c{S}im\c{s}ek