Random Hazard Forests (RHF) is a survival tree ensemble that models how a patient's hazard changes over continuous time as new measurements arrive. RHF directly estimates a nonparametric hazard likelihood for predictable covariate processes, using an efficient working model to guide tree construction and then estimating flexible time‑varying hazards at each terminal node. By routing each tree based on the covariate state immediately before each time point, RHF can handle irregular and asynchronous covariate updates, and averaging across trees yields a pathwise hazard estimate that accurately captures changing risk in simulations and an intensive‑care application.
arXiv:2607. 21817v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Longitudinal studies often collect data at sparse, irregular, and unequally spaced time points.
arXiv:2606. 03689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Survival Analysis (SA) is a statistical framework that models the time span until some event of interest occurs.
PGP-Clinical-TimeKAN is a trajectory-first framework for joint probabilistic forecasting of multivariate physiological data, combining missingness-aware temporal encoders, a soft organ-system prior, patient-specific relations, nonlinear Kolmogorov‑Arnold messages, and a low‑rank multivariate Student‑t head. Evaluated on a MIMIC‑IV cohort of 6,882 patients, it achieves the second‑lowest normalized MAE and the lowest RMSE among 13 models, while providing calibrated probabilistic forecasts with empirical coverage at 50%, 80%, and 95% intervals. Ablation studies show that relational structure is critical for performance, and increasing covariance rank improves likelihood but not point accuracy. whyItMatters":"The model demonstrates that joint trajectory forecasting can yield highly accurate, calibrated predictions of physiological trajectories, offering a potentially inspectable intermediate task for clinical deterioration prediction."
arXiv:2606. 18281v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) are central to treatment decision-making in personalized medicine.
arXiv:2607. 10466v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival models can model time-to-event outcomes using partially observed data.
arXiv:2606. 19140v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate survival prediction is essential for personalized treatment planning in head and neck cancer, yet remains challenging due to the heterogeneous and high-dimensional nature of multimodal clinical data.
arXiv:2608. 19578v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) can worsen rapidly, making timely prediction a clinical priority.
arXiv:2512. 13003v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for determining when a supervised model encounters inputs that differ meaningfully from its training distribution.
arXiv:2605. 30119v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs.
arXiv:2601. 14609v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multi-site collaboration can power survival models that no single hospital could fit alone, but privacy rules and protected computing environments block patient-level data sharing and the persistent server connections required by iterative federated methods.
Mr.Dec is a new Transformer‑decoder model that predicts 30‑day hospital readmission by treating each admission as a chronological sequence of daily multimodal events, integrating Electronic Health Record updates and Chest X‑ray findings. It uses disease‑specific supervised contrastive learning to shape a diagnosis‑aware latent space and preserves day‑level clinical signals that other methods often compress. Experiments on MIMIC‑IV and MIMIC‑CXR datasets show state‑of‑the‑art performance and the model can highlight "Critical Days" for actionable real‑time risk stratification.
arXiv:2608.29419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning architectures are increasingly proposed for patient trajectory modeling in electronic health records (EHRs), yet their advantage over s...