arXiv:2602. 13847v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A central challenge across science and engineering is to build data-driven reduced-order models of turbulent dynamical systems that reproduce stationary statistics, predict responses to external perturbations, and remain practical for real-world applications.
arXiv:2607. 13022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many nonlinear physical systems exhibit an initial transient phase in which perturbations grow before nonlinear interactions lead to a statistically steady state.
Many nonlinear physical systems exhibit an initial transient phase in which perturbations grow before nonlinear interactions lead to a statistically steady state. While this saturated regime is of primary interest, direct numerical simulations must resolve the full transient dynamics before reaching it, incurring significant computational cost.
arXiv:2507. 00719v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Typically, numerical simulations of Earth systems are coarse, and Earth observations are sparse and gappy.
arXiv:2609.24882v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hybrid AI-physics climate modeling aims to improve coarse (~100km-resolution) Earth system models by learning to parameterize subgrid processes from hi...
arXiv:2604. 23874v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The differentiable physics paradigm may be leveraged as an a-posteriori approach for discovering turbulence closure models by embedding a neural network parameterization directly inside the solver and optimizing it given potentially sparse target data.
arXiv:2512. 04452v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: NORi is a machine learning (ML) parameterization of ocean boundary layer turbulence that is physics-based and augmented with neural networks.
arXiv:2607. 18298v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We show that a single climate realization can be decomposed into forced and internal components by treating external forcing as a dynamical driver within a linear stochastic system, an idea grounded in pullback attractor theory.
The paper introduces a world model that learns to predict the evolution of physical systems while respecting key physical principles. By hard‑coding a general structure—generating dynamics from the gradient of a learned energy via a fixed reversible operator and imposing constraints on energy, dissipation, and interventions—the model achieves second‑law compatible dissipation, accurate responses to parameter changes, long‑term stability, and robustness to disturbances. Experiments on an electromagnetic cavity, a particle‑in‑cell grid, and shallow‑water fluid demonstrate that the model can recover accurate constitutive functions, distinguish conserving from dissipating regimes, and transfer learned physics to unseen conditions, outperforming unconstrained models.
arXiv:2606. 05618v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events -- such as earthquakes and coronal mass ejections -- are common in many chaotic dynamical systems, yet are difficult to characterize and predict due to the subtle instability mechanisms that drive them.
arXiv:2608. 04222v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Turbulence is a central testbed for machine learning on physical dynamics because its governing laws are known exactly.
arXiv:2609.25505v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Rapid intensification (RI) remains one of the most consequential and difficult aspects of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting. Although full-physics nu...
The paper presents an ensemble Kalman–Bucy smoother (EnKBS) for continuous‑time data assimilation of nonlinear dynamical systems, reconstructing conditional distributions from ensemble moments without needing tangent‑linear or adjoint models. It demonstrates that EnKBS achieves exact smoothing mean and covariance in the infinite‑ensemble limit for linear‑Gaussian systems and incorporates regularization techniques like covariance localization and inflation for high‑dimensional problems. The method is applied to Bayesian inference of causal relationships in a dyadic trigger‑feedback model and to an iterative learning algorithm that uncovers the structure and hidden parameters of a reduced‑order model of midlatitude atmospheric circulation, all with small ensembles under partial observations.