arXiv:2505. 23863v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding chaotic dynamics is a fundamental problem across scientific disciplines, including climate science, neuroscience, and fluid dynamics, yet direct experimentation and intervention in such systems are often infeasible.
By Chang Liu, Bohao Zhao, Jingtao Ding, Huandong Wang, Yong Li
arXiv:2604. 19465v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding how complex systems respond to perturbations, such as whether they will remain stable or what their most sensitive patterns are, is a fundamental challenge across science and engineering.
By Chengyun Wang, Liwei Chen, Nils Thuerey
arXiv:2608. 22277v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep learning surrogates for forecasting chaotic dynamical systems suffer from catastrophic error accumulation over long-term autoregressive rollouts.
By Zhou Fang, Gianmarco Mengaldo
arXiv:2308. 08794v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Tipping points are abrupt, drastic, and often irreversible changes in the evolution of non-stationary and chaotic dynamical systems.
By Miguel Liu-Schiaffini, Clare E. Singer, Nikola Kovachki, Sze Chai Leung, Hyunji Jane Bae, Kamyar Azizzadenesheli, Anima Anandkumar
The paper presents a probabilistic deep learning emulator—a ResNet‑inspired Conditional Variational Autoencoder—for the stochastic Holton–Mass model of stratospheric variability, which exhibits rare transitions between strong and weak polar vortex regimes. The emulator accurately reproduces short‑term dynamics, steady‑state distributions, regime persistence, rare transition rates, the committor function, and expected lead times. Analysis of the 32‑dimensional latent space via PCA reveals an unsupervised separation into four physically interpretable clusters that correspond to the two vortex regimes and their stable or transition‑prone states.
By C. Daniel Boscu, Daniel Hernandez, Fabio Alvarez Ventura, Justin Finkel, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Dorian S. Abbot
arXiv:2608. 22277v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep learning surrogates have become powerful tools for simulating and forecasting complex dynamical systems, yet their utility remains limited by catastrophic error accumulation during long-term autoregressive rollouts.
By Zhou Fang, Gianmarco Mengaldo