arXiv Machine Learning

A Temporal Machine Learning-Based Time-to-Event Model for Predicting ALS Progression and Healthcare Utilization

arXiv:2607. 14190v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive and heterogeneous neurodegenerative disease in which predicting clinically meaningful milestones, such as assistive device use, remains challenging.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

Transition-Based Digital Twin Modelling for Alzheimer's Disease under Sparse Longitudinal Data

Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is highly heterogeneous and is typically observed through sparse and irregular longitudinal data, posing challenges for prediction and personalised monitoring. Existing machine learning approaches have improved AD prediction using multimodal data, yet often focus on static classification or cohort-level risk estimation, providing limited support for subject-specific modelling and uncertainty-aware reasoning.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 8

NOAH: Learning the Full Patient Journey. A Longitudinal Multimodal Time-Aware Model for Representation and Forecasting

NOAH is a generative transformer that models the entire multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space to capture continuous, stochastic clinical trajectories. Trained on over 559 million events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual simulations, yielding strong predictive performance across 15 ICD chapters, 29 comorbidities, and time‑to‑event outcomes.

arXiv AI
Sep 10

NOAH: Learning the Full Patient Journey. A Longitudinal Multimodal Time-Aware Model for Representation and Forecasting

NOAH is a generative transformer that learns the full multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space. Trained on over 559 million clinical events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual intervention simulation, yielding strong performance on clinical outcomes, ICD chapters, comorbidities, and time‑to‑event prediction.

By Tobias Susetzky, Raphael Rehms, Dmitrii Seletkov, \"Ozg\"un Turgut, Michelle Espranita Liman, Lisa Steinhelfer, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

DeMMO: Longitudinal and Cross-Disease Modelling of Digital Mobility Outcomes via Multi-Task Learning

DeMMO is an interpretable framework that models longitudinal digital mobility outcomes (DMOs) across multiple diseases and outcomes using multi-task learning. It introduces a cross-disease, cross-outcome relation-learning mechanism that learns signed relationships from longitudinal DMO coefficient matrices, allowing selective information sharing even when disease cohorts lack shared participants. Evaluated on the Mobilise‑D dataset, DeMMO outperforms nine strong baselines and identifies reliable longitudinal DMO patterns for clinical validation.

By Menghui Zhou, Zhipeng Yuan, Vitaveska Lanfranchi, Po Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

EHR2Path: Comprehensive Pathway-Level Modeling of Longitudinal Patient Trajectories from Multimodal Electronic Health Records

arXiv:2506. 04831v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Forecasting how a patient's condition is likely to evolve, including possible deterioration, recovery, treatment needs, and care transitions, could support more proactive and personalized care, but requires modeling heterogeneous and longitudinal electronic health record (EHR) data.

By Chantal Pellegrini, Ege \"Ozsoy, David Bani-Harouni, Matthias Keicher, Nassir Navab
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

One Loss to Rule Them All: Marked Time-to-Event for Structured EHR Foundation Models

arXiv:2602. 00541v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Clinical events captured in Electronic Health Records (EHR) are irregularly sampled and may consist of a mixture of discrete events and numerical measurements, such as laboratory values or treatment dosages.

By Zilin Jing, Vincent Jeanselme, Yuta Kobayashi, Simon A. Lee, Chao Pang, Aparajita Kashyap, Yanwei Li, Xinzhuo Jiang, Shalmali Joshi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Explaining Unsupervised Disease Staging in Huntington's Disease: Insights into Model Representations and Clusters

arXiv:2606. 07135v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Huntington's disease (HD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that affects motor, cognitive, and behavioral functions, where accurate characterization of disease progression remains essential to improve patient outcome and quality of life.

By Lubna Mahmoud Abu Zohair, Hind Zantout