arXiv AI

Transition-Based Digital Twin Modelling for Alzheimer's Disease under Sparse Longitudinal Data

arXiv:2606. 09671v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is highly heterogeneous and is typically observed through sparse and irregular longitudinal data, posing challenges for prediction and personalised monitoring.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

Transition-Based Digital Twin Modelling for Alzheimer's Disease under Sparse Longitudinal Data

Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is highly heterogeneous and is typically observed through sparse and irregular longitudinal data, posing challenges for prediction and personalised monitoring. Existing machine learning approaches have improved AD prediction using multimodal data, yet often focus on static classification or cohort-level risk estimation, providing limited support for subject-specific modelling and uncertainty-aware reasoning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17

A Temporal Machine Learning-Based Time-to-Event Model for Predicting ALS Progression and Healthcare Utilization

arXiv:2607. 14190v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive and heterogeneous neurodegenerative disease in which predicting clinically meaningful milestones, such as assistive device use, remains challenging.

By Zongliang Yue, Qi Li, Terry Heiman-Patterson, Frank Bearoff, Zhaohui Qin, Huanmei Wu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 23

Uncertainty-Aware Longitudinal Forecasting of Alzheimer's Disease Progression Using Deep Learning

Longitudinal modelling of Alzheimer's disease progression is clinically useful only if it can describe not just the most likely next diagnosis, but how a patient may evolve over time and how reliable that forecast is. Most deep learning approaches reduce this problem to single-step classification, treating cognitively normal, mild cognitive impairment, and dementia as flat categories while providing limited insight into how uncertainty accumulates across future visits.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Imputation-free transformer learning enables robust Alzheimer's disease prediction and calibrated uncertainty quantification across heterogeneous clinical cohorts

arXiv:2607. 11656v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate diagnostic classification and disease-severity prediction for Alzheimer's disease are hampered by the incompleteness and heterogeneity of real-world clinical data.

By Christelle Schneuwly Diaz, Narmina Baghirova, Duy-Thanh Vu, Duy-Cat Can, Gilles Allali, Philippe Ryvlin, Oliver Y. Ch\'en
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

DeMMO: Longitudinal and Cross-Disease Modelling of Digital Mobility Outcomes via Multi-Task Learning

DeMMO is an interpretable framework that models longitudinal digital mobility outcomes (DMOs) across multiple diseases and outcomes using multi-task learning. It introduces a cross-disease, cross-outcome relation-learning mechanism that learns signed relationships from longitudinal DMO coefficient matrices, allowing selective information sharing even when disease cohorts lack shared participants. Evaluated on the Mobilise‑D dataset, DeMMO outperforms nine strong baselines and identifies reliable longitudinal DMO patterns for clinical validation.

By Menghui Zhou, Zhipeng Yuan, Vitaveska Lanfranchi, Po Yang
arXiv AI
Aug 21

Longitudinal Bayesian Learning of Continuous Disease Position across the Alzheimer's Disease Continuum

arXiv:2608. 19436v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) progresses as a continuous biological process, whereas most existing neuroimaging-based artificial intelligence methods remain limited to discrete diagnosis or clinical score prediction from cross-sectional imaging.

By Yingying Zhang, Kun Zhao, Guodong Liu, Qi Huang, Pengfei Gu, Dongchul Kim, Erik Enriquez, Alex D. Leow, Paul M. Thompson, Heng Huang, Hongchang Gao, Liang Zhan, Haoteng Tang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 8

NOAH: Learning the Full Patient Journey. A Longitudinal Multimodal Time-Aware Model for Representation and Forecasting

NOAH is a generative transformer that models the entire multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space to capture continuous, stochastic clinical trajectories. Trained on over 559 million events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual simulations, yielding strong predictive performance across 15 ICD chapters, 29 comorbidities, and time‑to‑event outcomes.