arXiv Machine Learning

False Sense of Safety in Selective Signal Classification: Auditing Bound Tightness and Exchangeability for Risk Control

arXiv:2606. 15153v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Selective prediction with distribution-free risk control promises that, with confidence 1-delta over the calibration draw, the error rate of accepted inputs stays below a user budget alpha.

arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 4

SafeRestore: Detector-Relative Risk Certificates for Selective Industrial Image Restoration

SafeRestore introduces a framework for certifying when an industrial image restoration should be automatically returned to a detector or require human review. It ranks five restoration candidates using action‑specific fitted scores, selects a threshold gate on tuning data, and evaluates the gate on a separate certification sample with two one‑sided exact binomial bounds—one for evidence‑loss incidents and one for excess‑activation incidents. In a retrospective study of 4,591 Carinthia‑S images, the protocol demonstrates auditable risk‑coverage behavior, with varying pass rates across different policies and morphologies.

By Shaoliang Yang, Jun Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

A distribution-free certification framework for trustworthy crash-severity prediction

The paper introduces a distribution‑free certification layer that can be applied to any crash‑severity prediction model without modifying the model itself. It provides guarantees for ordinal outcomes, per‑class validity, transfer of coverage to unobserved severities, and one‑sided certificates under deployment shift, all grounded in a functional of the true data law. The framework is evaluated on 5.2 million Texas records, demonstrating a model‑independent lower bound on set width for vulnerable road users and is released as an open‑source package with theorem‑level tests.

By Amir Rafe, Subasish Das