arXiv:2608. 02081v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we study prediction problems for paired comparison data, for example, predicting the win probability between two unmatched players and ranking all the players according to the order of their strengths by using win probability data between two matched players.
By Ryoya Yamasaki
arXiv:2607. 23509v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present two approaches for predicting tennis match outcomes using topological data analysis and graph theory on ATP singles matches from 2000-2025.
By Jake Schwaderer, Alexander Bastien, Omid Khormali, Alejandro Navarrete, Mia Pesavento, Angelika Elderbrook
arXiv:2608. 03416v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are now regularly asked to forecast real-world events, but comparisons are often difficult because models receive different information, use different tools, and are evaluated under different rules.
By Jonaid Shianifar, Iias Faiud
arXiv:2607. 18084v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting a football match before kickoff requires more than knowing past results: a model must use changing information and make a clear prediction before the answer is available.
By Zhaokai Wang, Tianlin Gui, Jiayuan Rao, Shangzhe Di, Yihong Tang, Dingli Liang
arXiv:2606. 26267v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Rating systems such as Elo serve as the gold standard for matchmaking in competitive chess.
By Tianyuan Zhou, Zhizheng Fu, Tianming Yang
arXiv:2508. 13213v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Strategic decision-making requires balancing immediate opportunities against long-term objectives: a tension fundamental to competitive environments.
By Adamo Cerioli, Edward D. Lee, Vito D. P. Servedio
arXiv:2607. 17765v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce WC2026-Agents, a benchmark and dataset for evaluating large language models (LLMs) as autonomous forecasting agents on real, future events.
By Jiacheng Ding, Cong Guo, Jason Xu
arXiv:2604. 14586v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The rapid expansion of gaming industry requires advanced recommender systems tailored to its dynamic landscape.
By Xiping Li, Aier Yang, Jianghong Ma, Kangzhe Liu, Shanshan Feng, Haijun Zhang, Yi Zhao
arXiv:2608. 07158v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal graph learning has become essential for analyzing real-world systems whose interactions continuously evolve over time, including financial transaction networks, communication systems, and online social platforms.
By Poupak Azad, Cuneyt Gurcan Akcora, Kiarash Shamsi
arXiv:2607. 24573v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) increasingly support decisions about uncertain future events, yet evaluating their ability to forecast real-world outcomes remains difficult.
By Jonas Schr\"oder, Jonas Schweisthal, Oliver M\"uller, Markus Weinmann, Stefan Feuerriegel
arXiv:2607. 00190v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent advances in reinforcement learning have produced superhuman agents across a wide range of competitive games.
By Andrzej Bia{\l}ecki, Adam Mastalerz, Han Zhou
Predicting a football match before kickoff requires more than knowing past results: a model must use changing information and make a clear prediction before the answer is available. We present WorldCupArena, a dynamic benchmark for language models and deep-research agents.