arXiv Machine Learning

Nipping the Butterfly Effect in the Bud: Self-Output Fine-Tuning for Autoregressive Weather Prediction

arXiv:2607. 21080v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon weather forecasting is a fundamental challenge in atmospheric science, for which autoregressive Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) has emerged as the primary paradigm.

arXiv Machine Learning
23h ago

Evaluating and improving crop-yield forecasting methods during extreme drought

arXiv:2608. 17971v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The impact of climate variability on food production has led to the creation of various forecasting models that uses machine learning (ML), numerical weather predictors (NWP) or a hybrid of ML-NWP models to identify structural and physical relationships between meteorological drivers and crop growth, in order to predict crop yield.

By Shrey Gupta, Yi Ming, George Mohler
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry

arXiv:2607. 20778v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Weather forecasting foundation models (FMs) are increasingly fine-tuned to predict air quality, offering fast global pollution forecasts at lower computational cost than conventional chemical transport models.

By Jason Y. Hu, Ivan Higuera-Mendieta, Patrick Obin Sturm, Makoto M. Kelp
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.

By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson