arXiv Machine Learning

Breaking the Statistical Similarity Trap in Extreme Convection Detection

arXiv:2509. 09195v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current evaluation metrics for deep learning weather models create a "Statistical Similarity Trap", rewarding blurry predictions while missing rare, high-impact events.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.

By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv Machine Learning
6d ago

Earth observation embeddings are effective sub-grid descriptors for probabilistic weather downscaling

arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.

By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Scaling Storm-Resolving Atmospheric AI Simulation to the Entire Planet

arXiv:2606. 31248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Kilometer-scale convection shapes precipitation extremes, tropical organization, and cloud feedbacks, but most global atmospheric models approximate these processes at 25-100 km resolution.

By Zeyuan Hu, Akshay Subramaniam, Noel Keen, Tao Ge, Jaideep Pathak, Mohammad Shoaib Abbas, Suman Ravuri, Karthik Kashinath, Naser Mahfouz, Peter Caldwell, Mike Pritchard, Noah Brenowitz