The paper introduces ARENA, a neural network that predicts solar flares by aggregating information from multiple active‑region cutouts and learning to focus on the most relevant region. It uses weakly supervised multiple‑instance learning, requiring only a flare/no‑flare label, and its attention mechanism localizes the driving active region without explicit annotations. ARENA attains a Heidke skill score of 0.45, comparable to existing methods, showing that active‑region aggregation can yield efficient and interpretable flare predictions.
arXiv:2607. 19597v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present FlareEUV, a multimodal deep learning framework for predicting daily extreme ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance at 6.
The paper introduces Semi-LAR, a semi‑supervised framework for removing nighttime lens flares. It uses an adaptive pseudo‑label repository that refines supervision through quality assessment, momentum updates, and invalid label filtering. A flare‑aware contrastive loss treats flare‑contaminated inputs as negatives, encouraging representations that distinguish flare patterns while aligning with reliable pseudo targets.
PISCES is a physics‑informed convolutional autoencoder designed to detect solar‑wind transients for space‑weather early warning. Trained on OMNI solar‑wind data without catalog labels, its loss incorporates magnetic field consistency, temperature‑velocity relations, the Parker spiral angle, and temporal smoothness penalties. During inference, PISCES decomposes the anomaly score into magnetic, plasma, physics‑relation, and residual components, enabling alarms that can precede observed sudden commencements and positive sudden impulses.
arXiv:2610.27155v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate multi-horizon photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for grid stability, energy scheduling, and the efficient operation of PVbattery...
arXiv:2607. 16472v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past decades, the frequency of global wildfires has been increasing steadily.
arXiv:2411. 10921v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate forecasts of distributed solar generation are necessary to maintain grid stability amid the increased uptake of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems.
The paper presents a hierarchical ensemble for short‑term photovoltaic power forecasting that fuses temporal neural models, historical analogs, state climatology, and gradient‑boosted trees with horizon‑specific convex weights. Solar geometry and numerical weather forecasts provide expected generation conditions, while a calibration step corrects recent bias using historical forecast errors. Evaluated on PVDAQ and GEFCom2014 data, the ensemble reduces mean absolute error by up to 6% compared to strong individual models, though its advantage varies with dataset and horizon.
SolarBench is an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting that consolidates over six million sky and satellite images from 11 sites across a decade, paired with irradiance, PV output, and atmospheric data. The benchmark includes a toolbox for reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, the authors benchmark representative models, uncover a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the capture of rapid solar fluctuations, quantify predictability across cloud regimes, and demonstrate data‑efficient adaptation to new PV systems.
arXiv:2608. 20117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The emergence of large-scale Weather and Climate (W&C) datasets offers new opportunities for modeling extreme Earth events (ExEE) and their impacts using deep learning.
arXiv:2610.19191v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wildfire decisions are made in hours, yet most learned spread models predict daily on targets including burned area. We propose FireGraphNet which form...
The paper introduces IMPACT, a physics‑informed multimodal deep‑learning framework that forecasts photovoltaic power 10–110 minutes ahead with probabilistic outputs. It uses a four‑branch architecture to encode plant‑level temporal history, inverter‑level spatial cloud dynamics, known‑future solar geometry, and current meteorological data, fusing them via gated cross‑attention. The model outperforms 14 baselines, achieving a forecast skill score of 0.2950 and maintaining strong performance under overcast and variable sky conditions.
arXiv:2608. 11254v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the reliable integration of photovoltaic power into modern electricity grids.