arXiv:2607. 01661v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-agent systems are increasingly used for forecasting future events, as deliberation among multiple LLMs is believed to improve reasoning and calibration.
By Yuante Li, Yicheng Tao, Kate Zhang, Taozhi Wang, Gefei Gu, Yaxin Zhou
arXiv:2606. 02497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation.
By Yuhua Liao, Zetian Wang, Qiangqiang Nie, Zhenhua Zhang
arXiv:2604. 18576v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present the Bayesian Linguistic Forecaster (BLF), an agentic system for binary forecasting that achieves state-of-the-art performance on the ForecastBench benchmark.
By Kevin Murphy
arXiv:2605. 25929v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The effectiveness of multi-agent LLM deliberation depends not only on the agents' individual predictions, but also on how they communicate and collaborate.
By Franka Bause, Jonas Niederle, Martin Pawelczyk, Rebekka Burkholz
arXiv:2607. 06157v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deliberation plays a crucial role in collaboration; when humans work together, they naturally engage in communication to align information and reach an agreement.
By Chenxu Wang, Yongkun Yang, Boyuan Du, Shiwei Lin, Huaping Liu
Evaluating reasoning quality in multi-agent LLM systems is challenging, especially for open-ended tasks without reference answers. We investigate whether intrinsic confidence signals, token-level log-probabilities from decoding, can predict reasoning quality as assessed by LLM-as-judge evaluation.