arXiv:2608. 02633v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Regional surveillance data reflect local transmission, reporting, seeding, and external infection pressure, which are difficult to identify separately.
By Weixiong Hua, Fan Bu
arXiv:2602. 06323v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Epidemiological forecasting from surveillance data is a hard problem and hybridizing mechanistic compartmental models with neural models is a natural direction.
By Yiqi Su, Ray Lee, Jiaming Cui, Naren Ramakrishnan
arXiv:2605. 26704v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Epidemic forecasting faces a fundamental challenge: human behavior dynamically responds to disease spread, creating feedback loops that induce distribution shifts at policy intervention points.
By Haochun Wang, Sendong Zhao, Jingbo Wang, Yanrui Du, Ting Liu, Bing Qin
arXiv:2607. 19262v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As pathogen genomic surveillance scales, the bottleneck is shifting from data generation to analysis.
By Harmon Bhasin, Kevin Flyangolts, Dianzhuo Wang, Evan Seeyave, Arjun Banerjee, Amanda Darling, Joshua Stallings, David Stern, Shawn Higdon, Claire Duvallet, Bryan Tegomoh, Kenny Workman
arXiv:2606. 05168v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Training on synthetic data causes model collapse, but existing analyses treat this as single-chain degradation.
By Xiangyu Wang
arXiv:2606. 02867v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Human behaviour during epidemics affects infectious disease dynamics, but quantifying this remains deeply challenging.
By Petra Ferenz, Ava Keeling, Tobias O'Keefe, Lorenzo Stigliano, Francesco Di Lauro, Andres Colubri, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths
arXiv:2607. 26854v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate multi-week dengue forecasting supports timely vector-control interventions, outbreak preparedness, and healthcare resource allocation.
By Inesh Shukla, Madhurima Panja, Tanujit Chakraborty, Chittaranjan Hens
arXiv:2606. 14028v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In small-batch scientific deployments, labeled target outcomes may be too scarce for reliable shift estimation even when unlabeled target inputs are available.
By Seungjin Choi
arXiv:2607. 16234v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Hantavirus genomic surveillance is limited by the distribution of sequence data, non-IID source heterogeneity, and constrained expert-review capacity.
By Shanika Iroshi Nanayakkara, Shiva Raj Pokhrel
arXiv:2606. 27286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mechanistic epidemiological models are widely used to support infectious disease forecasting and public-health decision making.
By Alina Bazarova, Johann Fredrik Jadebeck, Henrik Zunker, Carolina J. Klett-Tammen, Torben Heinsohn, Wolfgang Wiechert, Katharina Noeh, Stefan Kesselheim
arXiv:2603. 07108v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions.
By Rajdeep Pathak, Tanujit Chakraborty
arXiv:2606. 05513v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Epidemic LLM forecasters are usually trained and evaluated as static supervised models, whereas operational pandemic forecasting is a streaming process in which labels arrive after predictions and disease regimes shift over time.
By Yiming Lu, Sihang Zeng, Zhengxu Tang, Max Lau, Fei Liu, Wei Jin