arXiv:2606. 19560v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Seasonal influenza infects millions of people and causes substantial morbidity and mortality in the United States each year, making accurate short-term forecasting a core public-health need.
By Alireza Jafari, Judy Fox, Geoffrey C. Fox, Madhav Marathe, Aniruddha Adiga
arXiv:2601. 20771v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate forecasting of infectious disease incidence is critical for public health planning and timely intervention.
By Zacharias Komodromos, Kleanthis Malialis, Artemis Kontou, Panayiotis Kolios
arXiv:2602. 06323v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Epidemiological forecasting from surveillance data is a hard problem and hybridizing mechanistic compartmental models with neural models is a natural direction.
By Yiqi Su, Ray Lee, Jiaming Cui, Naren Ramakrishnan
arXiv:2605. 26704v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Epidemic forecasting faces a fundamental challenge: human behavior dynamically responds to disease spread, creating feedback loops that induce distribution shifts at policy intervention points.
By Haochun Wang, Sendong Zhao, Jingbo Wang, Yanrui Du, Ting Liu, Bing Qin
arXiv:2606. 05513v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Epidemic LLM forecasters are usually trained and evaluated as static supervised models, whereas operational pandemic forecasting is a streaming process in which labels arrive after predictions and disease regimes shift over time.
By Yiming Lu, Sihang Zeng, Zhengxu Tang, Max Lau, Fei Liu, Wei Jin
arXiv:2608. 09683v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic coastal hazard assessments require accurate characterization of tropical cyclone (TC) parameters, yet datasets often contain missing records for the radius of maximum winds (Rmax), a key variable in Joint Probability Method analyses.
By Swastik Agrawal, Nishkal Hundia, Ziyue Liu, Michelle Bensi
arXiv:2603. 07108v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions.
By Rajdeep Pathak, Tanujit Chakraborty
arXiv:2608. 06671v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wastewater-based surveillance is an effective tool for disease monitoring and can provide early warning of outbreaks.
By Aniruddha Adiga, Jingyuan Chou, Gursharn Kaur, Andrew Warren, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Baltazar Espinoza, Bryan Lewis, Justin Crow, Alexandra Lorentz, Rekha Singh, Madhav Marathe
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2511. 09789v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han
arXiv:2607. 27106v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Emergency Departments (EDs) are critical access points in healthcare systems, yet they face persistent pressure from unpredictable patient demand, seasonal surges, and non-urgent visits.
By Filipa Lino, B\'arbara Tavares, Carlos Santiago, Cl\'audia Soares, Manuel Marques
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.
By Joongwon Chae, Runming Wang, Chen Xiong, Gong Yunhan, Lian Zhang, Ji Jiansong, Dongmei Yu, Peiwu Qin