arXiv Machine Learning

Improving Coherence in Hierarchical Time Series Forecasting using Structured Temporal Fusion

arXiv:2606. 28553v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In many real-world applications, such as retail sales, energy usage, and supply chain planning, forecasting is performed across hierarchical structures.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systems

arXiv:2501. 04339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce the Deep Convolutional Interpreter for Time Series (DCIts), a deep-learning architecture for nonlinear multivariate time series that provides sample-specific, locally interpretable descriptions of the underlying interaction structure.

By Domjan Baric, Davor Horvatic
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

One Step Closer to Ground Truth: A Multi-Scale Residual-Aware Representation Learning Pipeline for Predicting Time Series Data

arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.

By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv AI
Jul 23

Structured Latent Space Modeling over Multi-Scale Temporal Patches for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 19404v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series encode structural patterns that unfold across multiple temporal scales, yet most forecasting backbones treat learned representations as transient byproducts of prediction, leaving the organizational geometry of these patterns underexploited.

By Xingsheng Chen, Deyu Yi, Siu-Ming Yiu
arXiv AI
Jun 30

UniMamba: A Unified Spatial-Temporal Modeling Framework with State-Space and Attention Integration

arXiv:2604. 16325v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges.

By Xingsheng Chen, Xianpei Mu, Deyu Yi, Yilin Yuan, Xingwei He, Bo Gao, Regina Zhang, Pietro Lio, Siu-Ming Yiu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

TopoCast: A Topological Fidelity Framework for Evaluating Transformer-Based Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 25439v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning-based models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), yet their evaluation remains dominated by pointwise error metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), which quantify numerical accuracy but overlook structural properties of the forecast signal, including recurrent dynamics, oscillatory behavior, and phase alignment.

By Sandeepa Weerasekara, Sandareka Wickramanayake
arXiv Machine Learning
23h ago

TiMi: Empower Time Series Transformers with Multimodal Mixture of Experts

arXiv:2602. 21693v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multimodal time series forecasting has garnered significant attention for its potential to provide more accurate predictions than traditional single-modality models by leveraging rich information inherent in other modalities.

By Jiafeng Lin, Yuxuan Wang, Huakun Luo, Jianmin Wang, Zhongyi Pei