arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2606. 27688v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In financial forecasting, predictive performance depends not only on which model is trained, but also on how the trained model is deployed.
By Riku Green, Zahraa S. Abdallah, Telmo M Silva Filho
arXiv:2607. 16229v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as components of agentic systems that observe, plan, and act.
By Rishab Ghosh, Vinay Devarakonda
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.
By Jiaze Sun, Kelvin J. L. Koa, Ruiyang Ni, Yize Liu, Haonan Chen, Ke-Wei Huang
arXiv:2606. 04980v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures scale model capacity through sparse expert activation, but their deployment remains memory-bound because all expert weights must reside in memory.
By Wanqi Yang, Yuexiao Ma, Alexander Conzelmann, Xiawu Zheng, Michael W. Mahoney, T. Konstantin Rusch, Shiwei Liu
arXiv:2602. 15327v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning model performance improvements tend to arise from competition and application.
By Hanlin Zhang, Jikai Jin, Vasilis Syrgkanis, Sham Kakade
arXiv:2607. 00958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series are central to modern data mining applications, from industrial telemetry and server metrics to finance and physiology, yet time-series self-supervised learning often depends on view and augmentation choices that encode domain-specific invariances.
By Alexander Chemeris, Ming Jin, Randall Balestriero
arXiv:2608. 12251v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial volatility is regime dependent, yet incorporating regime information into neural networks can also destabilize training.
By Junyi Ye, Gargi Vijay Borde
arXiv:2607. 23047v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Mixed-precision quantization improves the accuracy of post-training quantization by allocating higher bitwidths to sensitive layers, but existing methods solve the allocation for a single fixed memory budget.
By Ashitabh Misra, Madhav Agrawal, Arham Jain, Tarek Abdelzaher
arXiv:2607. 13929v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial observations are continuous, heterogeneous, and noisy, whereas decoder-only next-token models are usually built around discrete symbolic inputs.
By Yiming Ma, Xinyu Chen
arXiv:2606. 24950v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial decision-making is contextual: forecasting prices, valuing companies, and assessing event exposure weigh price history, accounting fundamentals, macroeconomic regime, and contemporaneous text.
By Patara Trirat, Jin Myung Kwak, Jay Heo, Heejun Lee, Sung Ju Hwang
arXiv:2607. 12248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large pretrained time-series models such as TimesFM are attractive for financial forecasting, but raw directional accuracy is a misleading scoreboard in equity markets.
By Taizhen Cheung, SA Kwon