DynG-Diff is a new diffusion-based framework for probabilistic multivariate time‑series forecasting that addresses the challenge of information heterogeneity across variables. It uses a two‑stage training strategy with an unconditional diffusion backbone and introduces a lightweight state‑aware policy network that dynamically adjusts guidance strength based on real‑time variable reliability. The dynamic guidance is mathematically framed as local precision, allowing the model to focus on high‑confidence variables and suppress anomalous noise, leading to competitive performance and robustness on real‑world benchmarks.
By Zhente Zhang, Zhengwei Ni, Wei Fan
arXiv:2607. 22599v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Diffusion models have become a widely used framework for probabilistic time series forecasting, modeling the distribution of future values given an observed history.
By Chen Su, Yuanhe Tian, Yan Song
arXiv:2609.37694v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Diffusion models have recently shown strong potential for probabilistic multivariate time-series forecasting by modeling complex conditional distribu...
By Rui Han, Min Yang, Xu Zhang, Xinghao Yang, Wei Liu, Yongshun Gong
arXiv:2609.38632v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Recent probabilistic weather forecasters train stochastic predictors with the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) to generate each ensemble memb...
By Joonhyeong Park, Giung Nam, Hyungi Lee, Kyunghyun Cho, Byoungwoo Park, Juho Lee
arXiv:2607. 17972v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The prevailing inference framework for diffusion models formulates generation fundamentally as a problem of numerical integration.
By Shigui Li, Delu Zeng
arXiv:2601. 13534v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series generation (TSG) is widely used across domains, yet most existing methods assume regular sampling and fixed output resolutions.
By Xu Zhang, Junwei Deng, Chang Xu, Hao Li, Jiang Bian
arXiv:2608. 14067v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Diffusion models offer a natural way to model uncertainty in time series forecasting, yet their iterative sampling process is often treated as a uniformly beneficial refinement procedure.
By Dat Nguyen-Cong, Luong Tran, Tung Kieu
arXiv:2609.37038v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Precipitation nowcasting demands accurate short-term forecasts under strong spatiotemporal variability. Diffusion models are well suited to modeling...
By Haoran Xu, Xingzhuo Guo, Yuchen Zhang, Jincheng Zhong, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng Long
arXiv:2512. 15067v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The rapid growth in wireless infrastructure has increased the need to accurately estimate and forecast electromagnetic field (EMF) levels to ensure ongoing compliance, assess potential health impacts, and support efficient network planning.
By Zijiang Yan, Yixiang Huang, Jianhua Pei, Hina Tabassum, Luca Chiaraviglio
RDDMPI introduces a residual denoising diffusion model for multivariate time series imputation. By decomposing the missing signal into a baseline reconstruction and a residual uncertainty component, the method conditions the diffusion process on both the completed signal and its latent representation, using a reliability-aware mechanism to balance baseline influence. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that this approach improves reconstruction accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to prior diffusion-based methods.
By Ramiro Valdes Jara, David Chapman, Adam Meyers
arXiv:2605. 05540v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Fast surrogate modeling for high-dimensional physical dynamics requires more than low short-term error: useful models must roll out efficiently while preserving the statistical structure of long trajectories.
By Tianyue Yang, Xiao Xue
arXiv:2606. 27766v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Offline reinforcement learning enables policy learning from fixed datasets without additional environment interaction, making it appealing for safety-critical applications where online exploration is costly or unsafe.
By Shiqiang Gong