arXiv:2607. 22599v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Diffusion models have become a widely used framework for probabilistic time series forecasting, modeling the distribution of future values given an observed history.
By Chen Su, Yuanhe Tian, Yan Song
Probabilistic multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for modeling complex dynamical systems. However, existing diffusion-based methods rely on task-specific conditional paradigms that l...
arXiv:2608. 19504v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a conditioning mechanism for diffusion models based on multi-speed joint diffusion of the target and the condition.
By Libo Chen, Souvik Ghosh, Teo Deveney, Chris Budd, Vinay P. Namboodiri
arXiv:2607. 19919v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose Diffusion ReRoll, a diffusion-based framework for robotic sequential prediction that enables revisable denoising over horizons.
By Seonsoo Kim, Seongil Hong, Jun-Gill Kang
DynG-Diff is a new diffusion-based framework for probabilistic multivariate time‑series forecasting that addresses the challenge of information heterogeneity across variables. It uses a two‑stage training strategy with an unconditional diffusion backbone and introduces a lightweight state‑aware policy network that dynamically adjusts guidance strength based on real‑time variable reliability. The dynamic guidance is mathematically framed as local precision, allowing the model to focus on high‑confidence variables and suppress anomalous noise, leading to competitive performance and robustness on real‑world benchmarks.
By Zhente Zhang, Zhengwei Ni, Wei Fan
Diffusion models have shown strong potential for multi-modal planning in end-to-end autonomous driving. However, most existing methods confine diffusion to the planning module, conditioning on fixed outputs from separate discriminative perception networks.
arXiv:2608. 14067v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Diffusion models offer a natural way to model uncertainty in time series forecasting, yet their iterative sampling process is often treated as a uniformly beneficial refinement procedure.
By Dat Nguyen-Cong, Luong Tran, Tung Kieu
The paper introduces QuAKE, a Quantization-Aware Kalman Estimator designed to correct errors in diffusion model sampling when using quantized denoisers. By treating sampling as an online estimation problem, QuAKE leverages the history of quantized outputs to recover full-precision estimates, updating a posterior in closed form at each step. The method is lightweight, plug‑and‑play, and works with any high‑order multistep ODE sampler, outperforming existing correction techniques on W4A4‑quantized text‑to‑image diffusion models.
By Qitan Shi, Cheng Jin, Jiawei Zhang, Yuantao Gu
RDDMPI introduces a residual denoising diffusion model for multivariate time series imputation. By decomposing the missing signal into a baseline reconstruction and a residual uncertainty component, the method conditions the diffusion process on both the completed signal and its latent representation, using a reliability-aware mechanism to balance baseline influence. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that this approach improves reconstruction accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to prior diffusion-based methods.
By Ramiro Valdes Jara, David Chapman, Adam Meyers
arXiv:2511. 17038v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: From a Bayesian perspective, score-based diffusion solves inverse problems through joint inference, embedding the likelihood with the prior to guide the sampling process.
By Hao Chen, Renzheng Zhang, Scott S. Howard
arXiv:2609.37694v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Diffusion models have recently shown strong potential for probabilistic multivariate time-series forecasting by modeling complex conditional distribu...
By Rui Han, Min Yang, Xu Zhang, Xinghao Yang, Wei Liu, Yongshun Gong
arXiv:2609.37974v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Masked diffusion models (MDMs) generate text by unmasking several tokens per step, but they are trained and sampled under different conditions. The m...
By Manuel Madeira, Amitis Shidani, Alice Bizeul, Victor Turrisi, Louis B\'ethune, Bhavika Devnani, Dan Busbridge, Pierre Ablin, Jo\~ao Monteiro