arXiv:2610.05828v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) offer new opportunities for public opinion research by enabling early prediction of survey responses, potentially redu...
By Dongryeol Lee, Weronika {\L}ajewska, Leonardo Perelli, Saab Mansour
arXiv:2605.10659v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Digital personas powered by Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly proposed as substitutes for human survey respondents, yet it remains uncl...
By Mumin Jia, Yilin Chen, Divya Sharma, Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez
The paper investigates how persona prompting—using short textual descriptions of individuals—to align large language models (LLMs) with human survey responses. It examines the impact of selecting different persona attributes and finds that not all attribute combinations improve performance, suggesting that the variation in human responses to survey questions may explain mixed results. The study evaluates multiple attribute selection methods across four social surveys, two countries, six LLMs, and twenty prediction tasks, offering guidance on when persona prompting is beneficial and which attribute choices are most effective.
By Leon Fr\"ohling, Jens Rupprecht, Markus Strohmaier, Claudia Wagner
The paper proposes a method for culturally aligning large language models (LLMs) using soft prompt tuning optimized via Differential Evolution (DE). Unlike traditional fine‑tuning or reinforcement learning, this approach keeps model weights frozen and requires no preference data, instead leveraging aggregated survey scores from Hofstede's Value Survey Module (VSM13). Experiments on four countries and four instruction‑tuned models show that DE‑optimized prompts reduce cultural discrepancy, improve agreement with the World Values Survey, and are preferred in blinded pairwise evaluations by LLM judges.
By Reem I. Masoud, Martin Ferianc, Philip Treleaven, Miguel Rodrigues
The paper introduces Prompts to Proxies (P2P), a two‑stage inference‑time system that uses structured attribute‑based prompting and entropy‑guided sampling to build a diverse proxy pool, followed by L1‑regularized regression to create a compact weighted ensemble that matches aggregate survey responses. P2P achieves low mean squared error on American Trends Panel data and competitive performance on World Values Survey cross‑locale experiments, outperforming baseline prompting and demographic‑conditioning methods while using minimal training data. The authors argue that this preference reconstruction approach offers a lightweight, externally verifiable alternative for aligning large language model proxies with target human populations.
By Bingchen Wang, Zi-Yu Khoo, Jingtan Wang
The paper introduces DIAL, a framework that uses large language models (LLMs) as judges while mitigating position bias and aligning their judgments with human preferences. DIAL separates judge‑specific position effects, learns shared structure in debiased LLM preferences, and adaptively calibrates this structure toward human targets using limited human comparisons. Experiments on simulations and three human‑preference benchmarks show that DIAL remains robust to unbalanced response order, achieves strong human‑aligned rankings with few labels, and adapts when LLM information is imperfect, supported by a real‑data study of over 410K judgments from 21 LLM judges.
By Zesheng Cai, Yingqi Fan, Sichang Chen, Jin-Hong Du
The paper introduces Population Fidelity, an evaluation framework for assessing how well large language models (LLMs) represent human population attitudes. It focuses on three dimensions: group-level accuracy, between-group variation, and the structure of that variation. Using the framework, the authors replicate a prior study on machine bias and test cultural fine-tuning, finding that while fine-tuning improves overall alignment, it does not enhance representation of within-population differences.
By Neemias B. da Silva, Martin Lukk, Ali Sutani, Abhishek Moturu, Harris Yang, Daniel Silver, Matt Ratto, Thiago H. Silva
arXiv:2509. 08022v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Aligning large language models (LLMs) with diverse human values is essential for safe and effective deployment, yet existing benchmarks often overlook cultural and demographic variation.
By Yao Liang, Dongcheng Zhao, Feifei Zhao, Guobin Shen, Yuwei Wang, Dongqi Liang, Yi Zeng
arXiv:2607. 26348v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as synthetic users, stand-ins for human respondents whose simulated answers feed product, policy, and market decisions.
By Zihan Chen, Di Zhu, Lei Nico Zheng
Silicon sampling creates synthetic survey respondents by having large language models answer questions as people with specified demographics, and these synthetic populations are increasingly replacing real respondents. Current evaluations focus on answer accuracy and distributional matches but do not assess whether the synthetic respondents resemble actual human respondents. The authors introduce the respondent coverage gap (RCG) metric, which measures how far each real respondent is from the nearest synthetic one, and find that all six evaluated LLMs leave human respondents uncovered, performing worse than a baseline that samples answers independently from human marginals.
By Yusuke Kumagae, Masahiro Kaneko
Large language models (LLMs) are used worldwide, yet disproportionately reflect Western values, limiting their ability to represent diverse value systems. We introduce PLURAL, a large-scale, value-focused preference dataset grounded in the Integrated Values Survey (IVS), a nationally representative survey spanning 92 countries.
arXiv:2607. 08034v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are used worldwide, yet disproportionately reflect Western values, limiting their ability to represent diverse value systems.
By Dhruv Agarwal, Anya Shukla, Tanya Goyal, Aditya Vashistha