arXiv AI

FETS Benchmark: Foundation Models Enable Scalable and Generalizable Energy Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2604. 22328v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Driven by the transition towards a climate-neutral energy system, accurate energy time series forecasting is critical for planning and operations.

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 23

Expert-Guided Forecast Editing for Time-Series Foundation Models

arXiv:2607. 19659v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series foundation models can forecast across heterogeneous domains without task-specific training, but their forecasts are fixed once produced and cannot directly incorporate task-specific expert feedback.

By Hung Le, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Manh Nguyen, Huu Hiep Nguyen, Dai Do

benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jun 9

Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 08630v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates.

By Jiahui Huang, Ao Luo, Lei Liu, Hongwei Zhao, Tengyuan Liu, Ruibo Guo, Bo Wang, Zhao Wang, Bin Li

rag

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 7

When Do Foundation Models Pay Off? A Break-Even Analysis of Pretrained Time Series Forecasters

arXiv:2607. 04919v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deploying a time series foundation model requires GPU infrastructure, engineering overhead, and carries no guarantee of improvement over XGBoost.

By Nicholas Tan Jerome, Frank Simon

llms fine-tuning benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 18

Benchmarking Physics-Informed Time-Series Models for Operational Global Station Weather Forecasting

arXiv:2406. 14399v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse.

By Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai

llms benchmarks safety

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 3

RESCAST-100K: A Comprehensive Dataset for Cross-Domain Residential Load and Indoor Temperature Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 02852v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term forecasting of residential energy load and indoor temperature is essential for home energy management systems, grid-level demand response, and community energy efficiency efforts.

By Jainam Dhruva, Yousaf Raza, A. B. Siddique, Simone Silvestri

llms robotics fine-tuning benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jul 21

Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting for New England: A Comprehensive Machine Learning Benchmark with Weather, Calendar, and COVID-19 Indicators

arXiv:2606. 20918v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate short-term electricity demand forecasting is critical for reliable power system operation, energy market planning, and infrastructure optimization.

By Reza Ghanavati, Behrooz Mosallaei

llms benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 8

Time series Foundation Models based on Physics-Informed Synthetic Histories for Cold-Start Photovoltaic Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 07457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: At commissioning time, Photovoltaic (PV) operators must forecast production before target-site observations are available, limiting the direct use of standard supervised forecasters.

By Lorenzo Longarini, Alessandro Rongoni, Simone Silenzi, Emanuele Frontoni, Riccardo Rosati

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 15

Trend-Aware Multi-Task Learning for Short-Term Energy Forecasting

arXiv:2511. 09789v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term energy forecasting plays an important role in real-time operational decision-making, such as electricity market bidding and power system dispatch, where both numerical accuracy and correct directional signals are essential.

By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han

benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Aug 11

Full-Feature versus Limited-Input Machine Learning for Residential Energy Estimation: A Comparative Analysis of RECS and ResStock Under Realistic Input Constraints

arXiv:2608. 09255v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Residential energy estimates are often needed before detailed envelope characteristics, equipment efficiencies, infiltration, sensor, or billing data are available.

By Aditya Ramnarayan, Fatih Evren, Patti Gunderson, Samuel Rosenberg

benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 31

Bridging AI and Energy Forecasting: An Autonomous Workflow with Customized Toolkit

arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.

By Zhixian Wang, Leandro Von Krannichfeldt, Qingsong Wen, Chaoli Zhang, Liang Sun, Shirui Pan, Yi Wang

llms agents benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 30

fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2509. 26468v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Benchmark quality is critical for meaningful evaluation and sustained progress in time series forecasting, particularly with the rise of pretrained models.

By Oleksandr Shchur, Abdul Fatir Ansari, Caner Turkmen, Lorenzo Stella, Nick Erickson, Pablo Guerron, Michael Bohlke-Schneider, Yuyang Wang

benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 21

Lightweight Wrappers for Adapting Time Series Foundation Models to Regional Drought Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 17511v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large \emph{Time Series Foundation Models} (TSFMs) demonstrate strong zero-shot forecasting capabilities across diverse domains.

By Wentao Gao, Jiuyong Li, Lin Liu, Thuc Duy Le, Jixue Liu, Yanchang Zhao, Yun Chen

fine-tuning

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