arXiv AI

Monte Carlo Query Search: Active Capability Assessment of AI Agents

arXiv:2512. 16733v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Black-box AI (BBAI) systems, including foundation-model agents, are increasingly used for sequential decision making.

arXiv AI
Sep 16

Autonomous Assessment of Generalizability of AI Agent Capabilities

The paper introduces Monte Carlo Query Search (MCQS), an active query‑synthesis method for learning symbolic stochastic capability models of black‑box AI agents. MCQS treats capability evaluation as an active learning problem over policies, using Monte Carlo tree search to generate queries that distinguish between pessimistic and optimistic capability hypotheses. Experiments demonstrate that MCQS learns accurate capability models more efficiently than baseline strategies, enabling systematic characterization of agent capability boundaries with fewer interactions.

By Daniel Bramblett, Rushang Karia, Adrian Ciotinga, Pulkit Verma, YooJung Choi, Siddharth Srivastava
arXiv AI
2d ago

Capabilities Ain't All You Need: Measuring Propensities in AI

The paper introduces a formal framework for measuring AI propensities—tendencies of models to exhibit particular behaviours—using a bilogistic formulation that identifies an "ideal band" of success probability. It estimates the limits of this band with task‑agnostic rubrics and applies the method to six families of LLMs, showing how shifts in propensity affect task performance. The study finds that propensity estimates from one benchmark predict behaviour on held‑out tasks and that combining propensity with capability metrics yields stronger predictive power than either alone.

By Daniel Romero-Alvarado, Fernando Mart\'inez-Plumed, Lorenzo Pacchiardi, Hugo Save, Siddhesh Milind Pawar, Behzad Mehrbakhsh, Pablo Antonio Moreno Casares, Ben Slater, Paolo Bova, Peter Romero, Zachary R. Tidler, Jonathan Prunty, Luning Sun, Jose Hernandez-Orallo
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 9

SkillReason: Reasoning-Enhanced Agent Skill Retrieval for Implicit User Requests

Large language model agents increasingly rely on reusable skills to extend their capabilities beyond parametric knowl- edge. However, retrieving the appropriate skill from a large- scale library remains challenging because realistic user re- quests are often concise and underspecified, stating only the task goal while leaving the required capabilities and execu- tion steps implicit.

arXiv AI
Sep 24

The Capability Manifold and ML Scaling Laws

The paper introduces a capability manifold, a multidimensional framework that maps downstream capabilities—such as reasoning, retrieval, planning, and adaptation—to pre‑training, post‑training, and test‑time resources via bounded scaling functions. It provides analytical Jacobians to quantify how sensitive each capability is to changes in resources and their interactions. By embedding existing Kaplan‑ and Chinchilla‑type scaling laws and test‑time compute into this manifold, the authors demonstrate that these scaling relationships can be unified as trajectories on a common capability manifold.

By Syed Ali Raza Zaidi, Maryam Hafeez
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Beyond Task Completion: Training Capable and Safe Computer-Use Agents

The paper introduces SCOPE, a method that post‑trains computer‑use agents to balance task completion with safety by conditioning actions on environmental risk. It combines supervised fine‑tuning on three trajectory types—capability demonstrations, safe continuations, and explicit refusals—followed by reinforcement learning to improve performance. Experiments starting from Qwen3.5‑9B show that SCOPE‑RL achieves high task success and attack‑avoidance rates, outperforming other agents on OSWorld and OS‑BLIND benchmarks.

By Zeyu Kang, Zhenyun Yin, Yang Zhang, Shan He, Shanzhe Lei, Yanjiu Zhong, Xinquan Chen, Yuhong Wang