arXiv AI

Evaluating Model Capabilities After Benchmark Saturation

The paper examines whether transcripts of model solutions can reveal capabilities after benchmark scores saturate. By simulating saturation with historical data, the authors test protocols that use only correctly solved transcripts to predict performance on unsaturated items. Pairwise judging of transcripts outperforms other methods, reducing prediction error by 5.3×, though its effectiveness can vary across distribution shifts.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 8

Latent Performance Profiling of Large Language Models

arXiv:2605.30018v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) frequently achieve impressive scores on standardized benchmarks, yet accuracy alone offers a limited view of the...

By Tanmoy Chakraborty, Ayan Sengupta, Suparna Bhattacharya, Partha Pratim Chakrabarti, Amlan Chakrabarti, Supratik Chakraborty, Partha Pratim Das, Lipika Dey, Richa Singh, Mayank Vatsa
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 4

SuperValid: Capability-Aligned OOD Validation for Generalizable Downstream Scaling

The paper introduces SuperValid, a framework that generates out-of-distribution, capability-aligned validation data by distilling core concepts from benchmarks and expanding them into diverse, knowledge-rich texts. By focusing on capability-level performance rather than benchmark-specific metrics, SuperValid’s loss correlates strongly and stably with downstream benchmark results across a wide range of models, scales, and training data distributions. This training‑free metric can be computed during training, enabling model selection, early stopping, and scaling decisions without the need for benchmark evaluation.

By Quanen Sun, Changxin Tian, Ke Shi, Cai Chen, Cunyin Peng, Jia Liu, Kunlong Chen, Zhiqiang Zhang, Jun Zhou
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

DataPrep-Bench: Benchmarking LLMs as Training Data Preparators

arXiv:2607. 20465v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The quality of training data fundamentally determines the capabilities of large language models (LLMs), yet no unified benchmark exists to measure how well LLMs, agents, and data-centric workflows actually prepare training data end to end.

By Hao Liang, Qifeng Cai, Yibo Lin, Jianzhuo Du, Qifeng Xia, Sizhe Qiu, Linzhuang Sun, Meiyi Qiang, Zhaoyang Han, Xiaochen Ma, Bohan Zeng, Ruichuan An, Conghui He, Wentao Zhang
arXiv AI
Jun 2

Benchmarking at the Edge of Comprehension

arXiv:2602. 14307v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As frontier Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly saturate new benchmarks shortly after they are published, benchmarking itself is at a juncture: if frontier models keep improving, it will become increasingly hard for humans to generate discriminative tasks, provide accurate ground-truth answers, or evaluate complex solutions.

By Samuele Marro, Jialin Yu, Emanuele La Malfa, Oishi Deb, Jiawei Li, Yibo Yang, Ebey Abraham, Sunando Sengupta, Eric Sommerlade, Michael Wooldridge, Philip Torr
arXiv AI
Jul 3

PACE: A Proxy for Agentic Capability Evaluation

arXiv:2607. 02032v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluating LLM agents on benchmarks like SWE-Bench and GAIA can be expensive, time-consuming, and requires complex infrastructure.

By Yueqi Song, Lintang Sutawika, Jiarui Liu, Lindia Tjuatja, Jiayi Geng, Yunze Xiao, Daniel Lee, Aditya Bharat Soni, Vincent Lo, Xiang Yue, Graham Neubig
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 16

SITAR: A Situational Distortion Metric for Automatic Speech Recognition Evaluation

The paper introduces SITAR, a situational distortion metric for evaluating automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems. SITAR aggregates situational severity and cumulative extent into a unified score using a bounded recursive formulation, and is implemented as a lightweight BERT-family regressor that requires minimal runtime cost. The authors validate SITAR through extrinsic and intrinsic protocols, showing it tracks capability scaling and provides diagnostic utility across diverse datasets and models.

By Mingzhe Lu, Jinhao Liu, Yunpeng Li, Hang Su, Lichun Fan, Jian Luan