arXiv:2607. 06607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate long-term forecasting in complex systems is frequently compromised by dataset-level distribution shifts, where diverse underlying behavioral modes and evolving system states drive the dynamic multivariate time-series.
arXiv:2508. 02753v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Forecasting (TSF) faces persistent challenges in modeling intricate temporal dependencies across different scales.
arXiv:2607. 09537v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting requires models to capture diverse, often mutually exclusive, temporal dynamics, from smooth trend continuation to nonstationary drift and strict phase-aligned recurrence.
arXiv:2608. 04695v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Federated adaptation of time-series foundation models (TSFMs) is attractive for building energy forecasting because meter data are private, distributed, and highly non-IID.
Aurora‑X is a billion‑parameter time‑series foundation model designed for extreme forecasting tasks. It employs a progressive curriculum that starts with channel‑independent pretraining, then adds cross‑variable dependencies, variable context and horizon lengths, and optional future covariates during mid‑training. A variable‑resolution post‑training stage allows adjustable temporal spans per token at inference, while a pattern‑guided mixture‑of‑experts expands capacity through sparse activation and expert specialization. An implicit quantile network head predicts arbitrary quantiles, enhancing probabilistic forecasting flexibility. Experiments on GIFT‑Eval, TIME, FEV‑Bench, TFB, and DAG‑Bench show state‑of‑the‑art performance against both pretrained TSFMs and task‑specific supervised models.
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.
STHMoE is a Spatio‑Temporal Hypergraph‑Enhanced Mixture of Experts framework designed for urban traffic forecasting. It separates traffic dynamics into frequency‑, time‑, spatial‑, and higher‑order representations, each handled by a prompt‑guided expert built on a partially frozen large language model. The higher‑order expert uses an adaptive hypergraph module to learn evolving spatial structures, while an entropy‑aware router balances expert usage and fuses outputs, achieving competitive results on ten real‑world traffic benchmarks.
arXiv:2609.13878v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal traffic data are central to intelligent transportation systems, yet their heterogeneity poses significant challenges for large-scale mo...
Federated adaptation of time-series foundation models (TSFMs) is attractive for building energy forecasting because meter data are private, distributed, and highly non-IID. However, a single parameter-sharing strategy is unlikely to serve all pretrained TSFMs or building clients: fully shared adapters can suppress building-specific temporal behavior, while fully local adaptation discards cross-building transfer.
arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.
arXiv:2602.14049v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Spatio-temporal traffic forecasting is a core component of intelligent transportation systems, supporting various downstream tasks such as si...
arXiv:2603. 11475v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate prediction of multivariate time series is essential for emerging network intelligent control, observability, and management functions.
QUALS is a large‑scale time‑series corpus equilibrium framework designed to improve data efficiency for zero‑shot forecasting. It uses pattern quantization to decode heterogeneous patterns from mixed corpora and a learnability synchronization mechanism to calibrate sampling weights, bridging the optimization gap between simple and complex motifs. Benchmarks show that pre‑training on QUALS yields superior zero‑shot performance even with reduced training budgets.