FedeRICo is a federated traffic forecasting framework that addresses heterogeneity across client sensor subgraphs by combining gradient-level collaboration with boundary-aware residual communication. It uses a dual-branch architecture: a globally guided branch for transferable forecasting structure and a private residual branch that preserves client-specific corrections and incorporates boundary residual signals. Experiments on four real-world traffic benchmarks show that FedeRICo outperforms state‑of‑the‑art federated spatial‑temporal baselines while keeping training runtime competitive.
By Fermin Orozco, Man Luo, Johan Wahlstr\"om
arXiv:2609.13878v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Spatio-temporal traffic data are central to intelligent transportation systems, yet their heterogeneity poses significant challenges for large-scale mo...
By Zhouyang Liu, Jindong Han, Hao Wang, Xinyue Liu, Hui Gao, Dongsheng Li, Hao Liu
The paper introduces LoReST, a Local-Region Spatial Temporal network designed for large-scale traffic forecasting. LoReST captures local spatial heterogeneity by relation-aware aggregation within node neighborhoods and incorporates cross-region context through mean pooling, inter-region attention, and broadcasting back to nodes. Experiments on the LargeST benchmark demonstrate significant improvements, reducing MAE, RMSE, and MAPE by 4.78%, 3.60%, and 5.75% respectively.
By Qi Feng, Zidong Wang, Bo Li, Xiaoguang Gao, Jiayu Zhang, Chenfeng Wang, Kaifang Wan
arXiv:2606. 07695v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multi-Modality Spatio-Temporal Forecasting (MoSTF) extends traditional spatio-temporal forecasting by incorporating diverse traffic modalities.
By Yongchao Li, Yang Li, Zhuoxuan Li, Jun Chen, Chu Zhang, Jinde Cao, Leszek Rutkowski
arXiv:2602.14049v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Spatio-temporal traffic forecasting is a core component of intelligent transportation systems, supporting various downstream tasks such as si...
By Yue Wang, Areg Karapetyan, Djellel Difallah, Samer Madanat
arXiv:2607. 06614v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate station-level demand forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of bike-sharing systems, yet it remains challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dependencies and the large scale of urban networks.
By Ye Zihao
arXiv:2608. 04075v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for proactive resource management in edge computing, where service demand evolves dynamically across both space and time.
By Laha Ale, Letian Lin, Na Cao, Zheng Ma, Peng Yu
arXiv:2606. 21072v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Traffic prediction is a core task in intelligent transportation systems and urban-scale decision making.
By Yongfeng Su, Hongwen Li, Zijian Zhang, Ziquan Fang, Lu Chen, Christian S. Jensen, Hong Gao, Yinjun Han
Traffic flow forecasting is essential to intelligent transportation systems. Large-scale traffic forecasting requires jointly modeling local spatial dependencies and cross-region context.Spatial depen...
The paper introduces GAS-PFN, a Graph‑Aware Spatiotemporal Prior‑Data Fitted Network that incorporates road topology into synthetic task priors via random‑walk diffusion and uses a two‑mask Transformer architecture to separately model sensor‑specific temporal dynamics and spatiotemporal interactions. This design allows the model to adapt to new traffic networks without parameter updates, achieving a 34.0% average MSE reduction over TimePFN and a 27.7% reduction over recent industry zero‑shot forecasters across six benchmarks at a 90‑minute horizon.
By Joseph Natter, Long Vu, Yifan Zhang, Bobin Deng, Kun Suo, Rui Wu
arXiv:2607. 13108v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-world traffic data exhibit heterogeneous spatial correlations and nonlinear temporal dynamics, posing substantial challenges for accurate spatio-temporal forecasting.
By Sicong Lai, Yuehong Hu, Siru Zhong, Si Qiao, Yuxuan Liang, Guangyin Jin
arXiv:2608. 14177v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep spatiotemporal models integrating graph convolutions and attention mechanisms have demonstrated excellent performance in network-level traffic flow prediction, owing to their exceptional ability to capture complex spatiotemporal dependencies.
By Xuanmian He, Can Li, Wanjing Ma