arXiv:2608. 04695v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Federated adaptation of time-series foundation models (TSFMs) is attractive for building energy forecasting because meter data are private, distributed, and highly non-IID.
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Federated adaptation of time-series foundation models (TSFMs) is attractive for building energy forecasting because meter data are private, distributed, and highly non-IID. However, a single parameter-sharing strategy is unlikely to serve all pretrained TSFMs or building clients: fully shared adapters can suppress building-specific temporal behavior, while fully local adaptation discards cross-building transfer.
OceanMoE is a structured conditional sparse Mixture-of-Experts framework designed for long‑horizon multivariate ocean forecasting. It fuses cross‑variable information to build target‑specific local representations and performs content‑conditioned sparse routing at each spatial location, with the number of active experts adjusted by router confidence. Experiments on ORAS5 data show that OceanMoE reduces aggregate forecasting error and maintains lower geometric‑mean normalized RMSE compared to baselines, while expert allocation varies with prediction targets and locations.
arXiv:2606. 11625v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) are increasingly explored as predictive experts within emerging agentic time-series systems.
arXiv:2607. 06607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate long-term forecasting in complex systems is frequently compromised by dataset-level distribution shifts, where diverse underlying behavioral modes and evolving system states drive the dynamic multivariate time-series.
arXiv:2601. 16632v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning.
Aurora‑X is a billion‑parameter time‑series foundation model designed for extreme forecasting tasks. It employs a progressive curriculum that starts with channel‑independent pretraining, then adds cross‑variable dependencies, variable context and horizon lengths, and optional future covariates during mid‑training. A variable‑resolution post‑training stage allows adjustable temporal spans per token at inference, while a pattern‑guided mixture‑of‑experts expands capacity through sparse activation and expert specialization. An implicit quantile network head predicts arbitrary quantiles, enhancing probabilistic forecasting flexibility. Experiments on GIFT‑Eval, TIME, FEV‑Bench, TFB, and DAG‑Bench show state‑of‑the‑art performance against both pretrained TSFMs and task‑specific supervised models.