arXiv Machine Learning

Disentangling Model and Human Data Uncertainty in Apparent Facial Age Estimation

arXiv:2607. 16378v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating the apparent age of individuals from facial images is challenging due to the subjective nature of perception and the inherent variability of the data.

arXiv AI
Jun 16

Bayesian 3D Steerable CNNs: Enabling Equivariance and Uncertainty Quantification Simultaneously

arXiv:2606. 15479v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Steerable convolutional neural networks (Steerable-CNNs) guarantee SE(3)-equivariance by parameterizing kernels as linear combinations of steerable basis functions, but their deterministic nature precludes uncertainty quantification - limiting their use in settings where confidence estimates are essential.

By Abhishek Keripale, Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan, Susanta Ghosh
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

It depends: Incorporating correlations for joint aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties of high-dimensional output spaces

arXiv:2608.24518v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) plays a vital role in enhancing the reliability of deep learning model predictions, especially in scenarios with high-d...

By Leonhard F. Feiner, Manuel Nickel, Martin Menten, Laurin Lux, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert, Georgios Kaissis, Raphael Rehms, Johannes Paetzold
arXiv AI
Aug 17

Decoding the Past: An Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning Framework for Sex Attribution in Prehistoric Hand Stencils

arXiv:2608. 14539v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Determining the biological sex of the individuals who created Upper Paleolithic hand stencils remains a challenging problem due to the absence of ground truth, population differences between contemporary and prehistoric groups, and the uncertainty introduced by image degradation.

By Karel Becerra, Boris Mederos, Dean Snow, Ram\'on A. Mollineda
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

A Ground-Truth Framework for Uncertainty Disentanglement with Posterior Risk

The paper introduces a ground‑truth framework for disentangling uncertainty into epistemic and aleatoric components using sample‑conditional pointwise posterior risk. It evaluates current methods, finding that Spectral‑normalized Neural Gaussian Processes and Variational Latent Gaussian Processes best recover the ground‑truth uncertainty, while most methods align more closely with posterior variance and miss predictor bias. The study also explores the entanglement of estimated uncertainties and the impact of modeling choices, providing practical guidance and releasing 13 semi‑synthetic datasets for further validation.

By Frieder Wizgall, Georg Tirpitz, Moritz Seiler, Kerstin Ritter, B\'alint Mucs\'anyi