arXiv AI

UA-DCM: Uncertainty-aware Causal Decision Making via Effect Bound Decomposition

arXiv:2601. 22736v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference from observational data can provide strong evidence for finding the best action in a decision-making scenario without having to perform expensive randomized trials.

arXiv AI
Aug 20

CausalProfiler: Generating Synthetic Benchmarks for Rigorous and Transparent Evaluation of Causal Machine Learning

CausalProfiler is a synthetic benchmark generator designed to evaluate causal machine learning (Causal ML) methods more rigorously and transparently. It randomly samples causal models, data, queries, and ground truths based on explicit design choices across observation, intervention, and counterfactual reasoning levels, providing coverage guarantees and transparent assumptions. The authors demonstrate its utility by testing several state‑of‑the‑art methods under diverse conditions, both within and outside the identification regime, highlighting the insights CausalProfiler can reveal.

By Panayiotis Panayiotou, Audrey Poinsot, Alessandro Leite, Nicolas Chesneau, Marc Schoenauer, \"Ozg\"ur \c{S}im\c{s}ek
arXiv AI
Jul 14

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.

By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui
arXiv AI
Sep 10

Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification

The paper tackles selecting a cost‑constrained set of experiments that most effectively tighten bounds on a partially identifiable causal query. It formalizes this as the NP‑hard max‑potency problem, introduces efficient graphical pruning rules to reduce the search space, and demonstrates the approach on synthetic graphs and real NHANES data to estimate the effect of physical activity on diabetes.

By Tobias Maringgele, Jalal Etesami
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

Actionable CBFI: Integrating Structural Decomposition and Causal Counterfactual Recourse for Tabular Machine Learning

The paper introduces Actionable Case-Based Feature Importance (A‑CBFI), a framework that integrates structural causal models with counterfactual recourse for tabular machine learning. A‑CBFI isolates synergistic interaction bottlenecks and releases suppressive structural locks, concentrating over 98.3% of intervention effort on diagnosed root causes. Empirical tests in finance and healthcare show a 76.9% reduction in active human intervention while keeping recourse costs comparable to exhaustive causal methods.

By Sejong Oh
arXiv AI
Jul 21

Scalable Causal Imitation Learning

arXiv:2607. 17003v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Imitation learning enables learning a policy in an unknown environment with a latent reward signal using expert demonstrations, but it struggles when the imitator's and expert's observations are mismatched and unobserved confounders are present in expert demonstrations.

By Eylam Tagor, Mingxuan Li, Elias Bareinboim