arXiv:2601.22736v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Causal inference from observational data can provide strong evidence for finding the best action in a decision-making scenario without having...
By Md Musfiqur Rahman, Ziwei Jiang, Hilaf Hasson, Murat Kocaoglu
arXiv:2601. 22736v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference from observational data can provide strong evidence for finding the best action in a decision-making scenario without having to perform expensive randomized trials.
By Md Musfiqur Rahman, Ziwei Jiang, Hilaf Hasson, Murat Kocaoglu
ACTIVA is a transformer‑based conditional variational autoencoder designed to estimate full interventional distributions from observational data without requiring interventional data, a causal graph, or per‑task fitting. It learns a conditional latent prior that amortizes causal knowledge across diverse training tasks, enabling a single forward pass to handle new causal models drawn from the training distribution. Empirical results on synthetic and biologically realistic gene‑expression simulations show that ACTIVA outperforms correlational baselines, reduces spurious non‑descendant effects, and matches strong amortized baselines, while also validating its theoretical mixture‑of‑distributions property on observationally equivalent models.
By Andreas Sauter, Saber Salehkaleybar, Frank van Harmelen, Aske Plaat, Erman Acar
TabCausal is a causal discovery foundation model that learns to map datasets directly to causal graphs by pretraining across diverse causal environments. It uses a dynamic task construction strategy to expose the model to varied graph priors, mechanisms, noise models, dimensions, sample sizes, and intervention regimes, improving transferability from observational and mixed‑interventional data. On large synthetic benchmarks and a new protocol‑guided semantic benchmark, TabCausal outperforms many classical baselines and shows robust structure recovery, especially when interventional evidence is available.
By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf
arXiv:2609.36771v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) is a critical problem in many real-world scenarios. RCA enables the identification of faulty or failing mechanisms in a sys...
By Md Musfiqur Rahman, Kenneth Lee, Ziwei Jiang, Padmaja Jonnalagedda, Ruocheng Guo, Murat Kocaoglu