arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.
By Patrick Bl\"obaum, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian, Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan
arXiv:2606. 27154v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) poses a holistic test of LLM agentic capabilities, such as long-context understanding, multi-step reasoning, and tool use.
By Aoyang Fang, Yifan Yang, Jin'ao Shang, Qisheng Lu, Junjielung Xu, Rui Wang, Songhan Zhang, Yuzhong Zhang, Boxi Yu, Pinjia He
Root cause analysis (RCA) poses a holistic test of LLM agentic capabilities, such as long-context understanding, multi-step reasoning, and tool use. However, existing datasets suffer from a fundamental gap: they label only the root cause, not the propagation path connecting it to the observed symptom, which largely simplifies the task to naive pattern matching.
arXiv:2608. 03772v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Explaining the predictions of neural networks is a central challenge in trustworthy AI.
By Jannick Strobel, Muqsit Azeem, Stefan Leue
arXiv:2602. 06337v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference is essential for decision-making but remains challenging for non-experts.
By Junqi Chen, Sirui Chen, Chaochao Lu
arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.
By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui
arXiv:2609.37664v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Causal Normalizing Flows (CNFs) enable causal inference from observational data given the causal structure, but they assume fully observed training dat...
By Trung-Dung Hoang, Alceu Bissoto, Tim Fl\"uhmann, David Herzig, Christos Nakas, Lia Bally, Lisa M. Koch
arXiv:2604. 17616v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems.
By Shashank Mishra, Karan Patil, Cedric Schockaert, Didier Stricker, Jason Rambach
arXiv:2602. 01135v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive models trained via next-token prediction implicitly learn the conditional independence structure of their data-generating process.
By Hugo Math, Rainer Lienhart
The paper introduces Probabilistic Causal Impact (PCI), a framework that blends actual causality (AC) with Pearl’s probability of necessity and sufficiency to provide tractable, causally grounded explanations. PCI reframes explainability as an estimation problem on a probabilistic causal model, enabling efficient approximation via Monte Carlo sampling. The authors evaluate PCI on synthetic and real-world data, demonstrating consistency with AC, scalability, and applicability to complex continuous systems and large-scale causal machine learning models.
By Rafal Urbaniak, Sam Witty, Daniel Waxman, Andy Zane, Poorva Garg, Emily Bunnapradist, Sankaran Vaidyanathan, Jack Feser, Drew Lehe, Eli Bingham
arXiv:2606. 21806v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep generative models reproduce the observational distribution of their training data, inheriting any spurious associations it contains.
By Jingyuan Chen, Kangrui Ruan, Junzhe Zhang
arXiv:2404.06349v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The ability to understand causality significantly impacts the competence of large language models (LLMs) in output explanation and counterfactual r...
By Yu Zhou, Xingyu Wu, Jibin Wu, Liang Feng, Kay Chen Tan