arXiv AI
Uncertainty-aware Causal Decision Making via Effect Bound Decomposition
Read the original on arXiv AI →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv AI.
Related stories
arXiv AI
Jun 9
UA-DCM: Uncertainty-aware Causal Decision Making via Effect Bound Decomposition
arXiv:2601. 22736v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference from observational data can provide strong evidence for finding the best action in a decision-making scenario without having to perform expensive randomized trials.
arXiv AI
Aug 20
CausalProfiler: Generating Synthetic Benchmarks for Rigorous and Transparent Evaluation of Causal Machine Learning
CausalProfiler is a synthetic benchmark generator designed to evaluate causal machine learning (Causal ML) methods more rigorously and transparently. It randomly samples causal models, data, queries, and ground truths based on explicit design choices across observation, intervention, and counterfactual reasoning levels, providing coverage guarantees and transparent assumptions. The authors demonstrate its utility by testing several state‑of‑the‑art methods under diverse conditions, both within and outside the identification regime, highlighting the insights CausalProfiler can reveal.
arXiv AI
Jun 2
Transferring Information Across Interventions in Causal Bayesian Optimization
arXiv:2606. 01457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian optimization is a popular way to optimize expensive systems, where every experiment, simulation, or intervention costs time or money.
arXiv AI
Sep 10
Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification
The paper tackles selecting a cost‑constrained set of experiments that most effectively tighten bounds on a partially identifiable causal query. It formalizes this as the NP‑hard max‑potency problem, introduces efficient graphical pruning rules to reduce the search space, and demonstrates the approach on synthetic graphs and real NHANES data to estimate the effect of physical activity on diabetes.
arXiv AI
Jul 14
CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model
arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14
Causal Foundation Models with Continuous Treatments
arXiv:2605. 15133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines.