The paper introduces a time‑aligned evolving concept graph framework that jointly models semantic and structural changes in scientific literature. By treating dated papers as shared update events, it reconstructs both semantic and structural states from the same publication history for each prediction time, and fuses these states at the pair level to forecast co‑occurrence, relation formation, and conditional relation type. Experiments on a large graph of 187,848 papers and 270,687 concepts show that refreshing context with graph updates boosts mean relation AUPRC by 16.6% and raises mean relation AUROC from 0.9290 to 0.9722.
By Fred Sun, Jingze Wang, Minkun Xu, Shangqi Guo
Forecasting scientific relations can guide discovery by identifying promising connections before they emerge. Existing approaches often model concept semantics and graph structure separately or summar...
arXiv:2602. 20459v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Can AI systems trained on the existing scientific record forecast the advances that will follow?
By Anirudh Ajith, Amanpreet Singh, Jay DeYoung, Nadav Kunievsky, Austin C. Kozlowski, Oyvind Tafjord, James Evans, Daniel S. Weld, Tom Hope, Doug Downey
arXiv:2606.22342v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: How does research evolve, and can we trace it at the level of individual claims? Scientific progress is not simply a uniform accumulation of facts....
By Abdul Muntakim, Md Abdullah Al Hafiz Khan, Sadid Hasan, Yong Pei
Hakken is a domain‑agnostic system that predicts and explains future scientific discoveries by combining transformer‑based models trained on temporal knowledge graphs with large language model semantic knowledge. It identifies novel relationships between scientific concepts that extend beyond the deductive hull of existing knowledge and provides explanations to help scientists assess these predictions. In the biomedical domain, Hakken set a new benchmark for time‑aware multi‑label relation prediction, generated 1.5 million high‑confidence hypotheses about aging, and experimentally confirmed two predictions that revealed previously undocumented interactions relevant to drug discovery.
By Tarek R. Besold, Uchenna Akujuobi, Pablo Sanchez, Alessandra Toniato, Kana Maruyama, Jihun Choi, Samy Badreddine, Frederick Gifford, Daniel Evans-Yamamoto, Sucheendra K. Palaniappan, Miquel Ferrer, Kae Nagano, Iris Rossell, Tom Joy, Hatem ElShazly, Chrysa Iliopoulou, Christoph Wehner, Thiviyan Thanapalasingam, Susana Nunes, Pedro G. Cotovio, Peter Wurman, Peter Stone, Hiroaki Kitano, Michael Spranger
How does research evolve, and what substrate would let us forecast where it goes next? Scientific progress is not simply a uniform accumulation of facts: ideas extend prior methods, address known limitations, realize proposed future directions, and sometimes dispute earlier claims.
arXiv:2606. 00644v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI research often requires decisions before future evidence exists: which bottleneck to attack, which direction to pursue, or where a project should be positioned.
By Qiuyu Tian, Zequn Liu, Yingce Xia, Haojie Yin, Youyong Kong
arXiv:2606. 08532v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A scientific hypothesis is the first step in research and undergoes experimental validation, yet it also reflects a deep understanding of and reasoning about scientific phenomena.
By Lei Lin, Ronghao Wang, Chunbao Zhou, Jue Wang, Yangang Wang
arXiv:2606. 09105v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generating novel, feasible, and high-quality research ideas is an important yet challenging task in scientific discovery.
By Xu Li, Hanzhe Tu, Xun Han
arXiv:2605. 22681v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: AI systems are increasingly used to support forward-looking scientific judgment, but it remains unclear whether they can form reliable expectations about future scientific advances.
By Sean Wu, Pan Lu, Yupeng Chen, Jonathan Bragg, Yutaro Yamada, Peter Clark, David Clifton, Philip Torr, James Zou, Junchi Yu
HyGRAIL is a framework for discovering scientific hypotheses in incomplete knowledge graphs by combining a graph neural network (GNN) triage with large language model (LLM) review. The GNN scores candidate hypotheses and routes only ambiguous cases to the LLM, which receives structured evidence from the graph converted into natural language. Experiments on MatKG show HyGRAIL achieves the highest F1 score, improves over baselines, and cuts LLM calls by over 54%.
By Yihang Sun, Zhihan Zhu, Zhiyuan Jiang, Jingyi Ge, Zixuan Li, Jiaxuan You
The paper "Learning to Ideate for Scientific Impact" explores using delayed signals of scientific uptake—specifically citation-normalized impact—as feedback to steer large language models toward generating high‑impact research ideas. The authors build a dataset of over 100,000 computer science papers, train a reward model to predict citation impact from goal‑idea pairs, and align an idea generator via supervised fine‑tuning and reinforcement learning. Evaluation with a reference‑grounded protocol shows that the RL‑tuned model consistently produces ideas with higher estimated impact than baseline models.
By Shubham Kale, Aniketh Garikaparthi, Manasi Patwardhan