How does research evolve, and what substrate would let us forecast where it goes next? Scientific progress is not simply a uniform accumulation of facts: ideas extend prior methods, address known limitations, realize proposed future directions, and sometimes dispute earlier claims.
arXiv:2610.10138v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Predicting the future impact of a newly published paper is challenging because it must be inferred from heterogeneous evidence available at publication...
By Yong Cao, Markus Flicke, Haoyu He, Katrin Renz, Andreas Geiger
arXiv:2609.01432v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Scientific citations carry rhetorical intent. Scholars may cite prior work positively (supporting), negatively (contrasting), or neutrally (mentionin...
By Yixuan Liu, Lin Chen, Zhuoqi Liu, Jianglin Lu, Dakota Murray
arXiv:2606. 24894v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models have shown strong fluency in scientific writing, yet the evaluation of related work generation (RWG) remains limited.
By Anzhe Xie, Weihang Su, Jiaxin Mao, Yiqun Liu, Shaoping Ma, Qingyao Ai
arXiv:2609.22174v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Anticipating emerging research directions is a critical goal of AI-assisted science. Existing methods mainly predict which concepts will co-occur in...
By Jingze Wang, Fred Sun, Shangqi Guo
arXiv:2602. 20459v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Can AI systems trained on the existing scientific record forecast the advances that will follow?
By Anirudh Ajith, Amanpreet Singh, Jay DeYoung, Nadav Kunievsky, Austin C. Kozlowski, Oyvind Tafjord, James Evans, Daniel S. Weld, Tom Hope, Doug Downey
The paper "Learning to Ideate for Scientific Impact" explores using delayed signals of scientific uptake—specifically citation-normalized impact—as feedback to steer large language models toward generating high‑impact research ideas. The authors build a dataset of over 100,000 computer science papers, train a reward model to predict citation impact from goal‑idea pairs, and align an idea generator via supervised fine‑tuning and reinforcement learning. Evaluation with a reference‑grounded protocol shows that the RL‑tuned model consistently produces ideas with higher estimated impact than baseline models.
By Shubham Kale, Aniketh Garikaparthi, Manasi Patwardhan
arXiv:2608. 10740v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Effective research ideation requires moving beyond a static understanding of prior work to trace how research problems and solutions evolve across the literature.
By Xun Li, Yiying Yang, Pengtao Li, Xiao Yao, Suyu Liu, Xiaoyang Ye, Ziyu Lu, Yuan Yao, Yangning Li, Yinghui Li, Wenhao Jiang
arXiv:2607. 05401v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A small number of methodological contributions, including word2vec, the Transformer, large-scale pre-training, and reinforcement learning from human feedback, have reshaped NLP and AI research over the past decade.
By Fan Huang
arXiv:2605.29522v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: As scientific literature grows rapidly and research increasingly involves AI agents, automated survey generation has become a key capability for bo...
By Ziyue Yang, Da Ma, Hanqi Li, Zijian Wang, Tiancheng Huang, Zijian Hu, Chenrun Wang, Yunzhe Zhang, Xiaobao Wu, Kai Yu, Lu Chen
arXiv:2510. 16152v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Scientific literature is increasingly fragmented by disciplinary boundaries, specialized terminology, and potentially sparse keyword systems, making it difficult to capture the evolving structure of modern science.
By Mason Smetana, Lev Khazanovich
The paper introduces EvoTree, a staged framework for automatically generating evolution trees from citation graphs. It separates backbone learning from temporal refinement, using a graph-aware encoder and hierarchical clustering to build a stable taxonomy, then fine-tunes temporally to attach marginal papers under monotonic-path constraints, and finally labels concepts with an LLM without changing the topology. The authors release an annotated benchmark across 11 AI subfields and report that EvoTree outperforms baselines in NMI, citation-direction accuracy, concept purity, and marginal-paper detection.
By Zexing Zhao, Yuntong Hu, Liang Zhao