Time-Aligned Evolving Concept Graphs for Scientific Relation Forecasting
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The paper introduces a time‑aligned evolving concept graph framework that jointly models semantic and structural changes in scientific literature. By treating dated papers as shared update events, it reconstructs both semantic and structural states from the same publication history for each prediction time, and fuses these states at the pair level to forecast co‑occurrence, relation formation, and conditional relation type. Experiments on a large graph of 187,848 papers and 270,687 concepts show that refreshing context with graph updates boosts mean relation AUPRC by 16.6% and raises mean relation AUROC from 0.9290 to 0.9722.
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