arXiv AI

A collective capability boundary in frontier large language models on guideline-conformant and case-specific oncology decision-making

arXiv AI
Oct 2

OpenMTB-Audit: Exposing Over-Refusal and Clinical Expert Perspectives in LLM-Based Molecular Tumor Board Safety Evaluation

OpenMTB‑Audit is an open‑source benchmark that tests large language models on 500 synthetic non‑small cell lung cancer cases, covering five adversarial error categories and four safety labels: Supported, Partially Supported, Unsupported, and Insufficient Information. The study found that all eight tested LLMs over‑refused Partially Supported recommendations, collapsing labels to achieve high safety scores. A deterministic seven‑module framework, MTB‑AuditAgent, was introduced to reduce over‑refusal to 6.7% and reach 91.2% accuracy, while an oncologist annotation study highlighted disagreement around the boundary between information sufficiency and treatment optimization.

By Negin Ashrafi, Jia Luo, Stacey M. Frumm, Roxana Daneshjou
arXiv AI
Jul 10

Towards Precision Therapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Clinical-Reasoning LLM for Risk Stratification and Treatment Guidance

arXiv:2607. 08602v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy and a leading cause of cancer-related mortality.

By Peng Cui, Jitao Wang, Siyan Xue, Yao Huang, Haoming Xia, Dong Li, Dengxiang Liu, Weilin Wang, Liping Liu, Leida Zhang, Yunfu Cui, Tao Peng, Daolin Ji, Haitao Zhao, Wei Zhang, Xiaojuan Wang, Weijie Ma, Zongren Ding, Jinlong Li, Yuan Ding, Jiajing Zhao, Zhiyu Chen, Chengkun Yang, Ziyue Huang, Jiaqi Liu, Fusheng Liu, Yang Zhou, Xiaojuan Wang, Zhongquan Sun, Shiyun Bao, Xiaojun Wang, Ming Yang, Guangxin Li, Bin Shu, Yong Liao, Hongxuan Li, Yao Tang, Shizhong Yang, Yongyi Zeng, Yufeng Yuan, Yinpeng Dong, Jihui Hao, Jun Zhu, Jiahong Dong
arXiv AI
Aug 3

Reasoning in Real World Clinical Care: Why Large Language Models Are Not Yet Safe for Autonomous Clinical Decision Support

arXiv:2607. 28677v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM now pass medical licensing examinations and, in curated cases, can rival physicians at diagnostic reasoning.

By Shayndhan Sivanathan, Shravan Nageswaran, Mehdi Zadem, Ryaan Sultan, Nicolas von Mallinckrodt, Max Solovyev, Alexey Matyushkin, Sumon Sadhu, Gabriele C DeLuca, Sanjeeva Jeyaretna, James Hillis, Manoj Ramachandran, Prakash Jayakumar
arXiv AI
Jul 14

Information-seeking failures of large language models in agentic clinical reasoning

arXiv:2607. 10275v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models achieve high scores on medical knowledge assessments, yet clinical reasoning requires actively deciding what to investigate under uncertainty.

By Krischan Braitsch, Laura K. Schmalbrock, Theresa Weltermann, Andrew F. Berdel, Isabella Miller, Kai Tran, Michael Heider, Sabrina Kraus, Florian Bassermann, Jacqueline Lammert, Sebastian Ziegelmayer, Marcus Makowski, Lisa C. Adams, Keno K. Bressem
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 1

Large Language Models are Approximate Survival Estimators

arXiv:2609.38181v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival analysis estimates time-to-event outcomes from patient covariates and is widely used for medical risk assessment. Patients seeking prognostic...

By Juan M Zambrano Chaves, Peniel Argaw, Risa Ueno, Carlo Bifulco, Kristina Young, Rom Leidner, Tristan Naumann, Hoifung Poon
arXiv AI
3d ago

AI Consilium: a Benchmark of LLM Clinical Multidisciplinary Second Opinions

The paper introduces AI Consilium, a benchmark for evaluating large language models (LLMs) on providing clinically grounded, coherent, actionable, and safe second opinions in multidisciplinary settings. Using 300 NEJM–MedQA cases, the study compares eight single-model pipelines that generate role-specific opinions and interactive-consilium reports under free-form and structured conditions. Results show that structured final reports generally score higher, especially in management, and that GPT‑5.6‑Sol outperforms other models across all evaluated components, demonstrating the benchmark’s ability to differentiate model capabilities and the impact of response structure.

By Alexey A. Bokov, Ivan I. Panin, Nikolay B. Nechaev, Mikhail Yu. Valkov, Valeria Yu. Chernina, Natalia Gombolevskaya, Ayyaz Hussain, Vladimir M. Agafonov, Victor A. Gombolevskiy, Aleksandr V. Nesterov, Iaroslav R. Bespalov, Ivan V. Oseledets, Dmitry V. Dylov
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 22

LLMs Anchor on Chief Complaint and Fail to Integrate Evidence in Sequential Clinical Triage

The study evaluates large language models (LLMs) on sequential emergency department triage, where acuity labels are predicted from progressively longer nurse‑patient conversations. Six LLMs were tested at five checkpoints on simulated and physician‑authored dialogues, showing a decline from moderate‑to‑substantial agreement on full records to only fair‑to‑moderate agreement at each checkpoint. The models consistently anchor on chief complaint exchanges and fail to integrate later evidence, yielding low agreement with clinicians (QWK 0.295 vs. 0.887‑0.929) and concentrating predictions on ESI‑2 and ESI‑3. whyItMatters":"The findings reveal that LLMs, despite strong offline performance, cannot reliably handle the sequential nature of real‑time triage, highlighting a critical gap for safe deployment in emergency settings."

By Dipankar Srirag, Haokai Zhao, Ashutosh Kumar, Eleanor Hopper, Michael Dalton, Quoc Dung Nguyen, Aditya Joshi, Salil S. Kanhere, Padmanesan Narasimhan
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 30

OpenTumorBoard: A Real-World Benchmark of Multidisciplinary Tumor Board Discussion Trajectories

arXiv:2609.32810v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multidisciplinary tumor boards integrate multimodal clinical observations and longitudinal patient histories through specialist discussions,...

By Anqi Li, Zhixuan Ge, Yixuan Duan, Jiarong Qian, Chi-Yu Chen, MingYu Lu, Huan-Yu Hsu, Yu Gu, Yue Guo, Sheng Wang, Wei Qiu, Hanwen Xu