arXiv:2511. 15615v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper presents a tractable algorithm for estimating an unknown Lipschitz function from noisy observations and establishes an upper bound on its convergence rate.
By G\'abor Bal\'azs
The paper introduces a pooling‑ridge estimation method for functional linear regression that handles data observed at discrete times, ranging from sparse to dense designs. By combining pooling strategies with RKHS‑based techniques, the authors achieve minimax‑optimal prediction risk for both scalar‑on‑function and function‑on‑function models. The study identifies distinct phase transitions in convergence behavior, with up to three transitions for function‑on‑function regression, and validates the approach through simulations and real data examples.
By Shunxing Yan, Fang Yao
The paper investigates Double Machine Learning (DML) estimators under structure‑agnostic (SA) models, which assume the data‑generating law lies within a neighborhood of fixed machine‑learning estimates. It shows that for two of three studied functionals—the quadratic functional in the Gaussian sequence model and the quadratic density integral functional—the DML estimators are asymptotically inadmissible, being dominated by second‑order empirical higher‑order influence function (HOIF) estimators. For the third functional, the expected conditional covariance, both DML and HOIF estimators remain minimax but neither dominates the other.
By Lin Liu, Rajarshi Mukherjee, James M Robins
The paper introduces generalized Riesz regression, a framework that minimizes a Bregman divergence made observable through the Riesz identity. By selecting squared or Kullback–Leibler-type divergences, it recovers existing Riesz regression, tailored loss minimization, and density‑ratio objectives. The authors derive first‑order conditions that enforce empirical Riesz equations in model‑dependent tangent directions, provide convergence rates for sparse, RKHS, and neural network models, and establish asymptotic normality under Donsker or cross‑fitting conditions, with applications to treatment effects, average marginal effects, and covariate shift.
By Masahiro Kato
The paper presents a near-complete, nonasymptotic generalization theory for multilayer neural networks using path regularization, applicable to broad Lipschitz loss functions without requiring bounded loss or extreme network hyperparameters. It provides an explicit upper bound that addresses approximation rates in generalized Barron spaces and demonstrates the double descent phenomenon for ReLU networks. The authors claim near-minimax optimality for regression problems and plan to establish matching lower bounds in future work.
By Hao Yu
arXiv:2411.09686v4 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Regressing a function $F$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ without incurring the statistical and computational curse of dimensionality requires exploitable struct...
By Yantao Wu, Mauro Maggioni
arXiv:2406. 13944v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper establishes the generalization error of pooled min-$\ell_2$-norm interpolation in transfer learning, where data from diverse distributions are available.
By Yanke Song, Kenneth Gu, Sohom Bhattacharya, Pragya Sur
arXiv:2411.02771v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While c...
By Lars van der Laan, Alex Luedtke, Marco Carone
arXiv:2609.24929v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: In this paper, we study nonasymptotic $L^p$ error bounds for interval length and conditional coverage in split conformalized quantile regression (CQR...
By Rustam Isaev, Anton Conrad, Denis Belomestny, Eric Moulines, Sergey Samsonov
arXiv:2607. 22889v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning the natural parameters $z \in \mathbb{R}^n$ of discrete distributions $\mu_z$ from independent samples constrained to a subset $S \subseteq \{0,1\}^n$ is a foundational challenge in high-dimensional statistics.
By Rohan Chauhan, Ioannis Panageas
arXiv:2604. 00915v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimation of heterogeneous long-term treatment effects (HLTEs) is relevant for personalized decision-making in marketing, economics, and medicine, where short-term observational datasets are often combined with long-term observational datasets.
By Haorui Ma, Dennis Frauen, Valentyn Melnychuk, Stefan Feuerriegel
The paper introduces a learning-based surrogate approach for stochastic optimization problems where uncertainty depends on the decision, modeled via a nonparametric regression. It constructs a surrogate that embeds iteratively updated Jacobian estimates, using an adaptive random design that focuses sampling near the current iterate to achieve dimension‑independent convergence of the Jacobian estimates. The resulting learning‑based stochastic prox‑linear (L‑SPL) algorithm demonstrates nonasymptotic convergence rates and outperforms existing methods in sample efficiency and objective value in numerical experiments.
By Boyang Shen, Junyi Liu