arXiv Statistics ML

Conditional regression for the Nonlinear Single-Variable Model

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

A Closed-Form Formula for Consistent Lipschitz Regression on Metric Spaces with Sparse Neural Network Realizations

arXiv:2609. 03129v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Several classical machine-learning methods, such as KRRs and SVRs, are both computationally and analytically tractable since their estimators either admit closed-form expressions or are obtained by minimizing convex training objectives; neither feature is generally available for deep neural networks.

By Ruiyang Hong, Hrad Ghoukasian, Anastasis Kratsios
arXiv Statistics ML
Oct 1

Local polynomial density ratio estimation

arXiv:2609. 38412v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose a novel local-polynomial estimator of the ratio $r=f/g$ of two $d$-dimensional densities $f$ and $g$, from which independent samples are available.

By Hajo Holzmann, Alexander Meister
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Error Bounds for Statistical Estimators in BTL Model with Parametric Multivariate Utility Functions

The paper investigates preference elicitation under the Bradley‑Terry‑Luce model, focusing on estimating an unknown partworth vector from pairwise queries that satisfy a joint identifiability condition. It derives minimax lower bounds and shows that the canonical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) exists, is unique, and achieves near‑optimal error rates once the sample size exceeds a design‑dependent threshold, without requiring compactness constraints or external regularizers. The analysis decomposes the estimation error into a linear stochastic term, a second‑order bias, and a higher‑order remainder, providing a unified non‑asymptotic theory for parametric utility elicitation.

By Yicheng Li, Huifu Xu
arXiv AI
Jun 8

A Temporal Spatial Minimax Rate for Smoothly-Varying Distributions in Wasserstein Space

arXiv:2606. 07325v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the minimax rate of estimating a future value $\mu_{t_n+h}$ of a curve $t\mapsto\mu_t$ in the $2$-Wasserstein space $\mathcal{P}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$ from finitely many noisy snapshots of its past, under an adiabatic bound $\|\nabla_t^k v\|\le\varepsilon$ on the $k$-th covariant derivative of the velocity field.

By Munsik Kim