arXiv:2604. 00915v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimation of heterogeneous long-term treatment effects (HLTEs) is relevant for personalized decision-making in marketing, economics, and medicine, where short-term observational datasets are often combined with long-term observational datasets.
arXiv:2309. 15769v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances in deep learning have highlighted the phenomenon of benign overfitting in overparameterized statistical models, sparking significant interest in understanding its foundations.
arXiv:2502. 11331v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The proliferation of data has sparked significant interest in leveraging findings from one study to estimate treatment effects in a different target population without direct outcome observations.
arXiv:2608. 00701v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reweighting source samples to match a target covariate distribution is a standard response to distribution shift when generalizing evidence from one population to another.
arXiv:2406. 13944v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper establishes the generalization error of pooled min-$\ell_2$-norm interpolation in transfer learning, where data from diverse distributions are available.
arXiv:2607. 22931v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Analytic Continual Learning (ACL) offers a computationally efficient alternative to gradient-based approaches.
arXiv:2607. 04627v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Persona-Trained Monte Carlo (PTMC) estimates distributions of market-outcome functionals by repeatedly simulating limit-order-book interaction among $K$ neural policy bots whose behavioral personas are drawn from a learned heterogeneity distribution $\mathcal{P}$.
arXiv:2602. 17894v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data collection is a critical component of modern statistical and machine learning pipelines, particularly when data must be gathered from multiple heterogeneous sources to study a target population of interest.
arXiv:2607. 02681v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Integrating information across related tasks can improve estimation and prediction in transfer, multi-task, and federated learning, but contamination and heterogeneity make robust borrowing challenging.
arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
arXiv:2607. 14346v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Policy learning methods are increasingly used to inform treatment allocation under budget constraints.
arXiv:2303. 08777v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Cross-validation is one of the most widely used tools for risk estimation and model selection in statistics and machine learning, yet its theoretical properties when embedded in a learning procedure remain insufficiently understood.
arXiv:2608. 04669v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many social services assign scarce resources, such as housing assistance or hospital interventions, to people who arrive one at a time: each arrival must receive a decision immediately, and the long-run usage of every resource must stay within its capacity.