arXiv Machine Learning

Mutual Information Surprise: Rethinking Unexpectedness in Autonomous Systems

arXiv:2508. 17403v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A community of researchers appears to think that a machine can be surprised and have introduced various surprise measures, principally the Shannon Surprise and the Bayesian Surprise.

arXiv AI
Oct 5

Prospective Hindsight: Self-Calibrating Reinforcement Learning via Prediction-Reality Gaps

Prospective Hindsight (PH) is a self‑calibrating training principle for reinforcement learning that augments any retrospective base method with a signal derived from the gap between an agent’s prospective prediction and its retrospective evaluation. By weighting gradients with a stop‑gradient surprise based on this prediction‑reality gap, PH highlights samples where the agent’s self‑model is most inaccurate and encourages the policy and predictor to co‑evolve, progressively focusing on remaining blind spots. Experiments on single‑turn verifiable tasks and a multi‑turn personal‑agent task show that PH improves both task performance and calibration across model scales, addressing overconfident failures in single‑turn settings and underconfident successes in multi‑turn settings.

By Jiaxin Zhang, Xiangyu Peng, Qinglin Chen, Yu Li, Hiroaki Hayashi, Chien-Sheng Wu
arXiv AI
Jul 10

Self-Adaptive Anomaly Detection with Reinforcement Learning and Human Feedback in Connected Vehicles

arXiv:2607. 08373v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Connected vehicles are autonomous cyber-physical systems whose behavior must be continuously monitored during operation to detect deviations from normal operation before they propagate into failures.

By Matthias Wei{\ss}, Athreya Hosahalli Prakash, Maurice Artelt, Falk Dettinger, Nasser Jazdi, Michael Weyrich
arXiv AI
Jul 1

What Probing Reveals about Autonomous Driving: Linking Internal Prediction Errors to Ego Planning

arXiv:2606. 31106v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large-scale datasets and fast simulators have enabled improvements in driving policies that appear safe and robust, yet strong performance in nominal scenarios can still mask flawed reasoning and unsafe heuristics.

By Hyeonchang Jeon, Kyungbeom Kim, Eugene Vinitsky, Kyung-Joong Kim
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 28

SEABench: Benchmarking Endogenous Misalignment In Self-Evolving Agents

SEABench is a benchmark designed to study endogenous misalignment in self‑evolving large language model agents. It contains 48 longitudinal task sequences across various evolution surfaces, task domains, and harm types, and includes an adaptive trajectory discovery pipeline that probes for failures while preserving task intent. Evaluations show that self‑evolution improves task completion rates but often introduces safety failures absent in non‑evolving baselines, with divergent safety behaviors reflected in agents’ chain‑of‑thought reasoning that can be monitored to mitigate unsafe actions.

arXiv AI
Sep 1

Wide Learning: Learning to Reach Evidence

The paper introduces the concept of Wide Learning, which examines how a learner’s internal state can expand its ability to generate informative evidence under fixed resources and primitive affordances. By formalizing effective epistemic reach—defined by learner state, deployment budget, reliability threshold, and evaluation distribution—the authors demonstrate, through a controlled construction, that learning can significantly alter the probability of successfully realizing a diagnostic that was previously unlikely. The study shows that even with identical observable laws, a calibrated learner can achieve perfect diagnostic realization, highlighting the impact of learning on the scope of attainable evidence.

By Junzhou Chen
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 14

OOD-RL-Bench: A Benchmark Framework for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Reinforcement Learning

Reliable reinforcement learning (RL) agents must maintain operational integrity amidst sensor malfunctions, dynamic disturbances, and slow environmental shifts. The detection of out-of-distribution conditions is pivotal to determining when an agent's observations, transitions, or trajectory dynamics deviate from the assumptions underpinning its policy training.

arXiv AI
Jul 23

Challenges of Explainability in Continual Learning for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 19382v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning models have shown strong potential for time series forecasting, yet their deployment in real-world environmental monitoring remains challenging due to non-stationary dynamics and limited explainability.

By Quentin Besnard (RFAI), Emmanuel Doumard (BDTLN), Nicolas Labroche (LIFAT, BDTLN), Nicolas Ragot (RFAI), Nicolas Ringuet (BDTLN)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Value-Aware Prediction for Robust Multi-Agent Coordination Under Communication Loss

arXiv:2607. 17914v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Robust multi-agent coordination relies heavily on inter-agent communication, which is frequently disrupted by physical and environmental constraints in real-world deployments.

By Kemal Devrim Kafadar, Eren \"Ozaltun, Mahmud Efnan \c{S}anl{\i}, Feyza Orak, Emirhan Gazi, Kubilay Ka\u{g}an K\"om\"urc\"u, Naz{\i}m Kemal \"Ure