arXiv:2608. 10441v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many pipelines can pay a per-example cost to acquire an auxiliary, model-derived observation -- an LLM's structured reasoning, a slow oracle, an expensive measurement -- and then must decide when the acquired signal is worth using.
By Ying Yuan
The paper investigates when an in‑context learner should expand its hypothesis space, framing the decision as a costly sequential problem where prediction failures must be translated into structural evidence and then into an action. Using a Structural Revision Environment that allows exact Bayesian analysis, the authors find that the optimal decision to expand is governed by a value boundary rather than a simple evidence threshold, and that this boundary depends on the price of expansion, the remaining horizon, and the specific predictions that cannot be repaired locally. Experiments with transformers and language models show that while these models exhibit a failure‑sensitive signal, they often fail to incorporate cost and horizon considerations into their expansion decisions, and post‑training adjustments to priors or prediction sharpness do not alter the expansion criterion.
By Weihan Li, Xinlei Chen, Junhao Wu, Tianshi Zheng
arXiv:2407. 12288v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The progress of machine learning over the past decade is undeniable.
By Hong Jun Jeon, Benjamin Van Roy
arXiv:2606. 19476v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Effective machine learning depends not only on how we model data, but also on what data we choose to collect.
By Eric Elmoznino, Sangnie Bhardwaj, Johannes von Oswald, Rajai Nasser, Blaise Ag\"uera y Arcas, Jo\~ao Sacramento, Rif A. Saurous, Guillaume Lajoie
The paper introduces TRACE, a digital‑advertising diagnostic environment that uses simulated interventions to generate verifiable rewards for training reasoning agents. By injecting controlled interventions into a simulator, the hidden cause of anomalies becomes an oracle label, enabling agents to learn to identify root causes and affected segments through noisy, confounded evidence. Experiments show that reinforcement learning with these synthesized rewards outperforms large prompted baselines, achieving higher accuracy while using fewer tool calls.
By Rui Sun, Zhan Shi, Bing He
Effective machine learning depends not only on how we model data, but also on what data we choose to collect. While large sequence models have revolutionized data modeling, the problem of automated data selection, or "intrinsic curiosity", remains a significant challenge.