arXiv Machine Learning

Geospatial Foundation Models Capture Health-Relevant Dimensions of Place Beyond Conventional Social Risk Indices

The study evaluates whether geospatial foundation models derived from 2022 satellite data can capture physical aspects of place that conventional area-based social risk indices miss. Using LightGBM on data from 82,646 census tracts, the models moderately predicted certain survey variables and explained up to 54% of the residual variance in 40 health outcomes, notably improving predictions for annual checkups, arthritis, and high blood pressure. The models’ explanatory power increased with larger tract sizes, suggesting they add valuable, health-relevant information beyond traditional social risk measures.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

District-Level Food Environment Indicators and Social Vulnerability in S\~ao Paulo

This study examined whether food retail and street‑market indicators differentiate social vulnerability levels across 76 districts of São Paulo. Using machine‑learning classifiers on district‑level data, the authors found that densities of healthy and unhealthy food establishments explained about 60 % of feature importance, with XGBoost achieving the highest mean F‑score (0.75). The results suggest that publicly available food‑environment data are linked to district‑level social vulnerability, though limitations such as small sample size and cross‑sectional design restrict causal inference.

By Pedro Lemes Sixel Lobo, Eric Tokuda, Kuruvilla Joseph Abraham, Roberto Fray, Dirce Maria Marchioni, Alexandre Cl\'audio Botazzo Delbem, Rogerio Salvini
arXiv AI
Sep 15

Transfer Learning for Socioeconomic Estimation in Forced-Displacement Settings

The paper presents a transfer‑learning approach that adapts a multimodal spatiotemporal vision transformer, originally trained on Demographic and Health Survey data, to estimate socioeconomic conditions in forced‑displacement settings. Using satellite‑derived geospatial covariates, the adapted model explains up to 66% of variation in socioeconomic outcomes in camp‑intersecting grids and 41% in non‑camp areas, achieving mean absolute errors of 4.37 and 5.41 index points respectively. This framework supplements periodic household surveys by providing regularly updated, spatially granular socioeconomic estimates that bridge data gaps between survey rounds.

By Steven Ndung'u, Adel Daoud, Ismael Yacoubou Djima, Hai-Anh H. Dang, Patrick Michael Brock
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

UST-GNN: A Unified Spatial--Topological Graph Neural Network Framework for Urban Analytics--Demonstrated through a Case Study on Urban Health Prediction

arXiv:2504. 04739v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Understanding how social, demographic, environmental, and spatial factors jointly shape urban outcomes is essential for sustainable urban development and evidence-based policy.

By Minwei Zhao, Sanja Scepanovic, Stephen Law, Ivica Obadic, Cai Wu, Daniele Quercia
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 2

Do LLMs Know Your Neighborhood? Auditing LLM Priors for Neighborhood-Level Mobility Prediction and Structural Alignment

The study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can predict neighborhood-level human mobility without training data. Using anonymized Cuebiq data across four U.S. metropolitan areas, the authors compare zero‑shot LLM predictions to supervised baselines for various mobility outcomes and assess structural alignment with empirical trends. Results show supervised models outperform LLMs (average accuracy 0.580 vs. 0.435), with LLMs relying on coarse, stable priors that may exhibit biased treatment of protected-group predictors.

By Saad Mohammad Abrar, Eesha Kurella, Arnav Dadarya, Naman Awasthi, Kazi Tasnim Zinat, Vanessa Frias-Martinez
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 18

In-Context Learning to Assess Built Environment Impacts on Perceived Neighborhood Walkability Among Mobility-impaired Older Adults

arXiv:2608. 14663v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As global populations age, enhancing neighborhood walkability through inclusive urban design is important for mitigating built environment (BE) barriers that discourage physical activity and social participation among older adults.

By Houhao Liang, Kresimir Friganovic, Joanne Kua, Noor Hafizah Ismail, Su Su, Bryan Yijia Tan, Navrag B. Singh, Panos Mavros
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 1

BEACON: Behavioral and Semantic Enrichment of AlphaEarth Embeddings through Tri-Modal Contrastive Learning

BEACON is a tri‑modal contrastive learning framework that enriches AlphaEarth embeddings by aligning physical representations from Earth‑observation imagery with semantic POI text and human behavioral POI visitation data, while keeping the deployed model image‑only. In a Houston case study, BEACON outperformed six baselines on nine downstream tasks, achieving up to 43% higher R² for obesity prevalence, 34% for poor mental health, and 22% for median household income under a linear probe.

By Hao Tian, Heng Cai, Yifan Yang
arXiv AI
Aug 28

Is Your Neighborhood Safe? Place-based Stigma in Large Language Models' Urban Safety Judgments

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to guide urban safety decisions, but this study shows that their judgments are more influenced by neighborhood names than by geographic coordinates. Across seven instruct‑tuned models tested on 186 neighborhoods in Los Angeles and Chicago, name‑based ratings varied significantly and correlated with the proportion of locally dominant marginalized groups, while coordinate‑only ratings remained largely flat. The research finds that removing neighborhood names reduces both bias and accuracy, highlighting the complex role of demographic stereotypes and crime signals in LLM safety assessments.

By Huy Nguyen, Yue Lin