arXiv Machine Learning

Integrable Elasticity via Neural Demand Potentials

The paper introduces the Integrable Context-Dependent Demand Network (ICDN), a neural model that predicts multiproduct retail demand by learning log‑demand as a smooth, context‑conditioned function of log‑prices. This approach allows elasticities to be derived exactly from the learned demand surface, yielding analytically tractable and economically regularized own‑ and cross‑price responses. Across three retail datasets, ICDN achieves competitive out‑of‑sample prediction performance.

arXiv Statistics ML
2d ago

Learning to Price Electricity for Optimal Demand Response

The paper proposes a neural‑network algorithm for contextual electricity pricing, framing the problem as a Stackelberg game and using a mean‑field solution to learn constrained mappings from contextual features (e.g., weather, sunrise/sunset, day‑of‑week) to feasible price signals. The method is validated through simulations of the energy grid in several U.S. cities, demonstrating that incorporating rich contextual information can significantly enhance the value of demand‑response programs.

By Jing Shang, Mohammad Mehrabi, Xinyang Zhou, Mahmoud Saleh, Andrey Bernstein, Stefan Wager
arXiv AI
Jun 9

Integrating Deep Learning Demand Forecasting with Multi-Objective Optimization for Circular Coffee Supply Chains: A Data-Driven Framework for Cost, Emissions, and Freshness Management

arXiv:2606. 08314v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The coffee supply chain is one of the most complex agri-food networks, marked by geographically dispersed production, multi-tier coordination, and high sensitivity to quality and freshness.

By Ger\c{c}ek Budak (Department of Industrial Engineering, Ankara Y{\i}ld{\i}r{\i}m Beyaz{\i}t University, Ke\c{c}i\"oren, Ankara 06010, T\"urkiye), Faraz Gholamzadeh Gharehgheshlaghi (Department of Industrial Engineering, Ankara Y{\i}ld{\i}r{\i}m Beyaz{\i}t University, Ke\c{c}i\"oren, Ankara 06010, T\"urkiye), Melika Barjesteh Vaezi (Department of Kinesiology and Sport Management, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States), Ahmad Gholizadeh Lonbar (Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, USA)
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Deep Learning for Cross-Border Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparative Study

The paper presents a comparative study of six deep learning models—state-space, MLP, RNN, and Transformer-based architectures—for cross-border electricity price forecasting using publicly available data. It focuses on generalization across markets and evaluates performance under low-data target-market conditions (zero-shot, one-shot, few-shot) with a standardized dataset for the Germany‑Luxembourg bidding zone in 2024. Results show that N‑HiTS and NBEATSx perform competitively in limited‑data scenarios, while transformer models achieve comparable accuracy but require more adaptation and tuning, and that careful feature selection and hyperparameter tuning improve performance.

By Hadeer Elashhab, Sai Srijan Papineni, Marvin Dorn, Veit Hagenmeyer, Benjamin Sch\"afer