arXiv Machine Learning

Are Gradient Boosting Models Suitable for Intermittent Demand Forecasting?

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

FAME: Forecastability-Aware Mixture of Experts for Heterogeneous Time Series Forecasting

Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

Electricity Price Forecasting: Bridging Linear Models, Neural Networks and Online Learning

The paper presents a hybrid neural architecture that blends linear and nonlinear feed‑forward networks for day‑ahead electricity price forecasting. It introduces a partial online learning strategy with warm‑starting and stage‑specific hyperparameters to cut computational time, and employs Bernstein Online Aggregation to combine forecasts. Experiments on six years of major European markets show the method reduces RMSE by 11‑12% and MAE by 14‑17% compared to state‑of‑the‑art benchmarks while lowering computational cost.

By Btissame El Mahtout, Florian Ziel
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 15

High-Frequency Pricing at Scale for E-Commerce

arXiv:2606. 13741v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents the design, development, and implementation of a specialized forecast-then-optimize algorithmic pricing tool for sales campaigns in fashion e-commerce.

By Stefan Birr, Tobias Huelden, Mones Raslan, Adele Gouttes, Andreas Schmitt, Mateusz Koren, Johannes Stephan, Robert Streek, Manuel Kunz, Tim Januschowski