arXiv Statistics ML

Learning to Price Electricity for Optimal Demand Response

The paper proposes a neural‑network algorithm for contextual electricity pricing, framing the problem as a Stackelberg game and using a mean‑field solution to learn constrained mappings from contextual features (e.g., weather, sunrise/sunset, day‑of‑week) to feasible price signals. The method is validated through simulations of the energy grid in several U.S. cities, demonstrating that incorporating rich contextual information can significantly enhance the value of demand‑response programs.

arXiv AI
Sep 4

Towards Affordable Energy: A Gymnasium Environment for Electric Utility Demand-Response Programs

The paper introduces DR‑Gym, an open‑source, Gymnasium‑compatible environment that simulates electric utility demand‑response programs at the market level. It uses a regime‑switching wholesale price model calibrated to real extreme events and physics‑based building demand profiles, providing a rich observational space and a configurable multi‑objective reward function for reinforcement learning. Baseline strategies and data snapshots demonstrate the simulator’s realism and learnability.

By Jose E. Aguilar Escamilla, Lingdong Zhou, Xiangqi Zhu, Huazheng Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

Electricity Price Forecasting: Bridging Linear Models, Neural Networks and Online Learning

The paper presents a hybrid neural architecture that blends linear and nonlinear feed‑forward networks for day‑ahead electricity price forecasting. It introduces a partial online learning strategy with warm‑starting and stage‑specific hyperparameters to cut computational time, and employs Bernstein Online Aggregation to combine forecasts. Experiments on six years of major European markets show the method reduces RMSE by 11‑12% and MAE by 14‑17% compared to state‑of‑the‑art benchmarks while lowering computational cost.

By Btissame El Mahtout, Florian Ziel
arXiv AI
Jun 2

Explainable Data-driven Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods for Optimal Energy Management in Buildings

arXiv:2606. 02049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The increasing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems, particularly in buildings equipped with photovoltaic (PV) panels and energy storage systems, introduces significant complexity in energy systems.

By Hallah Shahid Butt, Qiong Huang, G\"okhan Demirel, Kevin F\"orderer, Erfan Tajalli-Ardekani, Simnon Waczowicz, Luigi Spatafora, Veit Hagenmeyer, Benjamin Sch\"afer
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

LoaDiff: Conditional Generation of Electricity Consumption Time Series for Energy Analytics

LoaDiff is a diffusion-based generative model that produces year-long, sub-hourly smart‑meter electricity consumption time series. It can be conditioned on static household attributes like appliance ownership and dynamic factors such as calendar dates and outdoor temperature. Evaluations on three residential datasets show that LoaDiff generates realistic, diverse load profiles, limits memorization, retains useful information for downstream tasks, and responds coherently to conditioning changes.

By Mariia Baranova, Adrien Petralia, Etienne Le Naour, Nathan Etourneau, Guillaume Hofmann, Themis Palpanas
arXiv AI
Jul 1

Smart charging of large fleets of Electric Vehicles: Independent Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning approaches

arXiv:2606. 31347v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The electrification of transportation through electric vehicles introduces new challenges for power grid management, such as increased peak demand, voltage fluctuations, line overloads, and the integration of variable renewable energy sources.

By Xavier Rate, Eloann Le Guern, Rapha\"el F\'eraud, Fatma Salem, Melissa Chiknoun, Eymeric Giabicani, Mehdi Feki, Patrick Maill\'e, Guy Camilleri, Anne Blavette, Hamid Benhamed
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Deep Learning for Cross-Border Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparative Study

The paper presents a comparative study of six deep learning models—state-space, MLP, RNN, and Transformer-based architectures—for cross-border electricity price forecasting using publicly available data. It focuses on generalization across markets and evaluates performance under low-data target-market conditions (zero-shot, one-shot, few-shot) with a standardized dataset for the Germany‑Luxembourg bidding zone in 2024. Results show that N‑HiTS and NBEATSx perform competitively in limited‑data scenarios, while transformer models achieve comparable accuracy but require more adaptation and tuning, and that careful feature selection and hyperparameter tuning improve performance.

By Hadeer Elashhab, Sai Srijan Papineni, Marvin Dorn, Veit Hagenmeyer, Benjamin Sch\"afer
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

RNN(p) for Power Consumption Forecasting

arXiv:2209. 01378v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: An elementary Recurrent Neural Network that operates on p time lags, called an RNN(p), is the natural generalisation of a linear autoregressive model ARX(p).

By Roberto Baviera, Pietro Manzoni