The study compares five regression models—multiple linear regression, random‑forest regression, decision‑tree regression, ridge regression, and lasso regression—for predicting crop yield using a dataset of 1,000,000 observations and ten variables. After preprocessing, the models were evaluated with 80:20 and 70:30 training‑testing splits, using R‑squared, MSE, and RMSE as metrics. Lasso regression and multiple linear regression achieved the highest test R‑squared (~0.913) and lowest RMSE (~0.501), with linear models providing competitive baselines and random forest showing a large training‑testing gap.
By Saptak Das, Arijit Sarkar, Soumik Neogi, Suborno Naskar
arXiv:2609.36975v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Operational estimation of wheat-cultivated area is persistently constrained by discordance between administrative record-keeping and remotely sensed cl...
By Kasimali Agharia, Ujjwal Kumar Gupta
arXiv:2606. 13959v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sierra Leone's agriculture operates with almost no data-driven decision support, and no published machine learning study has examined the country's crop yields.
By Ibrahim Denis Fofanah
The study evaluates machine learning models for nitrogen recommendations in winter wheat by directly scoring profit loss on 892 yield response curves, rather than relying on prediction accuracy. Results show that none of the models recover the best rate within farm tolerance, and at typical prices all models underperform standard UK advice. A simple post‑model correction step reduces profit losses by up to 43% without retraining, while a hybrid approach further mitigates bias and large losses.
By Xulong Wang, Po Yang
The study evaluates machine learning for nitrogen recommendations in winter wheat by directly scoring profit loss on 892 yield response curves, rather than relying on prediction accuracy. Results show that ML models alone fail to recover the best nitrogen rate within farm tolerance and underperform standard UK advice across price scenarios. However, a simple post‑model correction step significantly reduces profit losses, and a hybrid approach combining standard advice with a damped correction eliminates bias and large losses.
By Xulong Wang, Po Yang
arXiv:2606. 05731v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In-season crop type mapping is critical for food security in the face of increasingly extreme climate-related threats to crops.
By August Posch, Jitendra Kumar, Forrest M. Hoffman, Auroop R. Ganguly
arXiv:2610.08810v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Fine-tuned geospatial foundation models (GeoFMs) pretrained on large satellite archives have been shown to improve crop classification accuracy and geo...
By Venkatesh Kolluru, Rajat Shinde, Abdelhak Marouane, Caden Helbling, Deepak Shah, Othneil Drew, Srinivas Kolluru, Iksha Gurung, Manil Maskey, Rahul Ramachandran
The paper evaluates machine learning for nitrogen recommendations in winter wheat by directly scoring the profit lost on measured yield response curves, rather than relying on prediction accuracy. Using 892 yield curves from UK experiments, the authors find that machine learning models fail to recover the best nitrogen rate within farm tolerance and generally underperform standard UK advice in terms of profit. However, a simple post‑model correction step can reduce profit losses by up to 43% without retraining, suggesting that machine learning can enhance standard advice rather than replace it.
arXiv:2606. 29248v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vegetable prices in Sri Lanka are highly volatile because the market is largely import-isolated, so supply disruptions quickly drive prices up.
By Ranuga Weerasekara, Heshan Nethmina, Manuja Ranathunga, Vinma Wettasinghe, Dinithi Navodya, Subavarshana Arumugam, Nirasha Munasinghe, Nisansa de Silva, Sandareka Wickramanayake
arXiv:2608. 07801v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Precision nitrogen (N) management (PNM) for cotton requires in-season monitoring of crop growth parameters and N status indicators to decide fertilizer timing, placement, and application rates for optimal canopy development and yield.
By Vaishali Swaminathan, Nithya Rajan, J Alex Thomasson, Amrit Shrestha, Karem Meza Capcha, Robert Hardin, Pramod Pokhrel
FedXCrop is a federated learning pipeline for crop disease classification that preserves farmer privacy while providing post‑aggregation explainability. The system uses a MobileNetV2 model and achieves near‑centralized accuracy (98.81%–99.38%) across five clients, even under non‑IID label skew. Grad‑CAM and SmoothGrad explanations are quantitatively evaluated, showing that federated models largely retain explainability characteristics of centralized models, though agreement decreases with increased heterogeneity.
By Kriti Saini, Manikandan P
The paper presents a hybrid model that combines a four‑parameter water‑balance core with a Random Forest residual correction and conformal prediction to generate 90‑percent confidence intervals for soil moisture forecasts. The risk‑aware rule uses the lower bound of these intervals to trigger irrigation decisions, improving early detection of management‑threshold crossings while maintaining precision. Evaluation on three years of hourly data from a Mediterranean cropland station shows the hybrid outperforms nine baselines, achieving up to +27.4 % skill at three hours and demonstrating that uncertainty quantification dictates the reliable lead time for irrigation advice.
By Andrea Scariolo