InA-Probe: Instruction-Aware Active Probing for Time Series Forecasting with LLMs
arXiv:2606. 08601v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive potential for time series forecasting.
The study demonstrates that using reaction precedents during inference can significantly improve retrosynthetic prediction accuracy, even when the model’s training data is limited or outdated. By expanding only the retrieval corpus, the authors achieved a Top‑1 accuracy increase from 13.0% to 58.0% for transformations absent from training, and from 4.9% to 23.1% for temporally held‑out data. Across 14 general‑purpose models, precedents boosted performance on both test sets and USPTO‑50K, surpassing specialized models without any task‑specific fine‑tuning.
arXiv:2606. 08601v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive potential for time series forecasting.
arXiv:2610.15141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Single-step retrosynthesis is a one-to-many inverse problem, yet most models are trained and evaluated against a single recorded reactant set. Referenc...
arXiv:2609.10092v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) increasingly act as research agents, yet their ability to track shifts in research attention is difficult to evaluate be...
arXiv:2603. 06642v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Test-Time Training (TTT) language models replace the KV-cache with fast weights updated during inference, achieving O(1) memory but suffering catastrophic failure on exact-recall tasks.
WorldAgen is a unified framework that jointly learns world modeling and action prediction using a shared Transformer backbone with two specialized heads. It introduces a Mixed Unidirectional Attention Mask to separate the world model and agent model, and enables Test-Time Training (TTT) by sampling exploratory actions and updating the world model with real state transitions. Experiments on CALVIN and LIBERO show that WorldAgen matches or surpasses state‑of‑the‑art methods, especially when TTT is applied to a few samples.
The paper investigates which historical examples are most useful for time‑series forecasting by defining predictive relevance as the expected future utility conditioned on inference‑time information. It introduces a two‑stage approach: a normalized‑pattern retriever generates a coarse candidate set, and a lightweight MLP reranks these candidates using future‑supervised relevance while keeping inference strictly past‑only. Experiments on six benchmarks show that this reranker improves pattern retrieval and outperforms a matched‑protocol baseline, revealing that historical relevance is structured, domain‑dependent, and not governed by a single universal retrieval rule.
arXiv:2602. 11550v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) achieve strong zero-shot forecasting through large-scale pre-training, but adapting them to downstream domains under distribution shift remains challenging.
arXiv:2603. 14709v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) enhances zero-shot time series (TS) forecasting by leveraging external knowledge bases, yet existing approaches overlook input-level relevance when fusing retrieved samples with the query.
arXiv:2608. 15507v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A consistent concept of the current time is important for temporal reasoning, yet how language models represent the current time is not well understood.
arXiv:2607. 25554v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Future event prediction carries broad social impact yet remains challenging.
The paper introduces StepLearn, a nonparametric framework for prequential test‑time learning in large language model agents. StepLearn separates immediate use of informative transitions from persistent trust, turning each transition into a hypothesis that guides the next step and only reusing it after prospective validation across episodes. Experiments on WebArena‑Lite and ALFWorld show StepLearn improves success rates by 2.2–12.7 percentage points over the strongest baseline, with benefits evident from the first task attempts.
The paper investigates how memory systems can answer a current query correctly yet fail to retain distinctions needed for later updates. Using a paired‑history audit, the authors evaluate 24 history pairs across six synthetic mechanisms and two model backends, achieving perfect reveal accuracy on DeepSeek and high accuracy on GLM. Record‑level audits reveal specific failures in structured reveal memories and frontier late‑reference adequacy, and the authors test a label‑equivariant repair that only partially restores correctness.