arXiv:2609.23686v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Patch-based autoregressive time-series forecasting often ties input representation, learned transitions, and recursive execution to one patch length. W...
arXiv:2608. 09971v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past few years, the rapid development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting has produced deterministic models whose medium-range skill matches or exceeds that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)'s high-resolution forecast (HRES).
arXiv:2608. 00675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autoregressive models accumulate error over long rollouts, yet at deployment there is no ground truth to measure it against.
arXiv:2608. 10433v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal reports are increasingly emitted alongside numerical forecasts and are often interpreted as statements about the computation producing those forecasts.
arXiv:2606. 28670v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce MACROCAST, a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM) for real-time macroeconomic forecasting.
arXiv:2609.25541v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models learn to predict cell values in context, whereas world-model self-supervision asks for prediction in representation space (Le...
arXiv:2607. 24662v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative models of temporal graphs are trained on one stretch of an evolving network and deployed on the next, and they degrade badly in the gap.
arXiv:2609.06008v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present Cadence, an error-bounded lossy compressor for numeric time series pairing a 330M-parameter time-series foundation model (Google TimesFM-3...
arXiv:2607. 05450v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper explores the "Granularity Paradox" in time-series forecasting, wherein finer temporal disaggregation (e.
arXiv:2608. 01740v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training-free feature forecasting accelerates diffusion sampling by predicting features at skipped denoising steps.
arXiv:2608. 14903v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Quantitative forecasts of frontier artificial intelligence often connect dated targets to trends in benchmark scores, training compute, release time, or expert belief.
arXiv:2607. 14427v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A depth-recurrent transformer applies a weight-tied core a variable number of times, and prior work has shown that training with a randomized recursion count yields one checkpoint usable across a range of inference depths.