arXiv:2606. 24347v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term PM$_{2.
arXiv:2608. 09775v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate air quality forecasting is essential for public health and urban environmental management, but remains challenging because pollutant channels differ in periodicity and distribution drift, while their concentration trajectories contain both multi-scale dependencies and rapid changes.
We present Varda-single-1.0, a medium-range data-driven weather prediction system built for the Alpine domain. It provides hourly deterministic regional forecasts on a mesh of 1 km resolution and glob...
arXiv:2610.00370v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Station weather forecasting is fundamentally shaped by both complex spatial dependencies across stations and strong physical coupling among weather v...
Varda‑single‑1.0 is a medium‑range, data‑driven weather prediction system designed for Switzerland’s Alpine region, delivering hourly deterministic forecasts at 1 km resolution and global forecasts at 31 km. It uses two independently trained stretched‑grid Graph Transformer models—an autoregressive forecaster and a temporal downscaler—trained through a curriculum that starts with ERA5 reanalysis, proceeds to a 20‑year regional reanalysis, and ends with fine‑tuning on operational analyses. Over a one‑year verification, Varda‑single matches or surpasses MeteoSwiss’s numerical weather prediction baselines for most key metrics, though it underestimates local wind peaks and produces smoother convective precipitation fields. whyItMatters":"The system demonstrates that high‑resolution machine‑learning models can rival traditional numerical weather prediction in complex terrain, offering a complementary tool for operational forecasting and research."
This study presents a new mobile‑sensing dataset from Surat, India, capturing PM2.5 concentrations along with meteorological and land‑use variables. The authors model the data as a graph using two node‑definition strategies—uniform segmentation and DBSCAN clustering—and introduce a Spatially Attentive Graph Neural Network (SA‑GNN) that combines cluster‑specific GRUs with a Graph Attention Network to forecast fine‑grained, short‑term PM2.5 levels. SA‑GNN outperforms traditional LSTM, RNN, GRU, and ANN baselines, achieving an R² of 0.95, RMSE of 6.8, and MAE of 4.2 µg/m³ on the dataset.
arXiv:2511. 23043v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model providing ensembles of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary ensemble size and forecast length.
arXiv:2607. 27152v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate intraday forecasts of offshore wind are becoming increasingly important for power system operation and the integration of growing shares of offshore wind energy.
UniGIO is a generative framework that models global in‑situ weather dynamics directly from incomplete GIO data, unifying forecasting, imputation, and generation across arbitrary missing ratios. It employs an Observation Mixer, Event Aligner, Adaptive Temporal Mixer, and a Mixture‑of‑Experts structure to capture station‑level complementarity, temporal dependencies, and extreme events, refining outputs with a Local Refiner. Experiments on the Weather‑5K dataset show state‑of‑the‑art performance, improving accuracy, fidelity, and extreme event capture by 11%, 12%, and 5% respectively.
StationPDE is a station-oriented surface PDE learning model designed for multi-station multivariate weather forecasting. It builds a terrain-aware continuous surface field from discrete station observations and separates its physical evolution into surface wind transport and upper-air inference, the latter approximating missing upper-air effects via learnable horizontal diffusion. The model also includes a data-driven diffusion branch and an adaptive router to combine forecasts, achieving a 9.6% average MSE reduction over state-of-the-art baselines on Weather2K and MeteoNet datasets.
arXiv:2607. 11896v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting particulate matter (PM10) requires both station-scale accuracy and continuous spatial fields, especially during severe dust storms.
arXiv:2605.03795v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Urban air quality forecasting is challenging because pollutant concentrations are nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent, and o...
WeatherNext 3 is a new AI‑driven global weather model that improves both spatial and temporal resolution by generating hourly forecasts at 0.1° resolution, matching the best physics‑based models. It incorporates low‑latency geostationary satellite data and learns to predict satellite‑derived precipitation, tropical cyclones, and station observations, enabling 2 m temperature and dewpoint predictions anywhere and anytime. By directly using raw observations instead of relying solely on analysis data, WeatherNext 3 sets a new state‑of‑the‑art for probabilistic medium‑range forecasting skill.