arXiv:2606. 19560v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Seasonal influenza infects millions of people and causes substantial morbidity and mortality in the United States each year, making accurate short-term forecasting a core public-health need.
By Alireza Jafari, Judy Fox, Geoffrey C. Fox, Madhav Marathe, Aniruddha Adiga
arXiv:2506. 14790v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recurring concept drift is pervasive in real-world online time series, where the underlying data-generating process repeatedly alternates between a small set of regimes, most notably daily or seasonal cycles that dominate energy, traffic, and weather patterns, and is therefore a central obstacle to reliable long-horizon forecasting.
By Tianxiang Zhan, Ming Jin, Yuanpeng He, Yuxuan Liang, Shirui Pan
arXiv:2607. 26854v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate multi-week dengue forecasting supports timely vector-control interventions, outbreak preparedness, and healthcare resource allocation.
By Inesh Shukla, Madhurima Panja, Tanujit Chakraborty, Chittaranjan Hens
arXiv:2602. 06323v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Epidemiological forecasting from surveillance data is a hard problem and hybridizing mechanistic compartmental models with neural models is a natural direction.
By Yiqi Su, Ray Lee, Jiaming Cui, Naren Ramakrishnan
arXiv:2605. 26704v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Epidemic forecasting faces a fundamental challenge: human behavior dynamically responds to disease spread, creating feedback loops that induce distribution shifts at policy intervention points.
By Haochun Wang, Sendong Zhao, Jingbo Wang, Yanrui Du, Ting Liu, Bing Qin
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.
By Joongwon Chae, Runming Wang, Chen Xiong, Gong Yunhan, Lian Zhang, Ji Jiansong, Dongmei Yu, Peiwu Qin
arXiv:2606. 02497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation.
By Yuhua Liao, Zetian Wang, Qiangqiang Nie, Zhenhua Zhang
arXiv:2601. 20771v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate forecasting of infectious disease incidence is critical for public health planning and timely intervention.
By Zacharias Komodromos, Kleanthis Malialis, Artemis Kontou, Panayiotis Kolios
arXiv:2606. 02812v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modeling patient trajectories from longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs) requires reasoning over sparse, noisy, and long-context multimodal sequences.
By Sihang Zeng, Matthew Thompson, Ruth Etzioni, Meliha Yetisgen
arXiv:2605. 13181v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Precipitation nowcasting remains challenging due to the highly localized, rapidly evolving, and heterogeneous nature of atmospheric dynamics.
By Penghui Wen, Zexin Hu, Sen Zhang, Patrick Filippi, Xiaogang Zhu, Allen Benter, Thomas Bishop, Zhiyong Wang, Kun Hu
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2608. 06671v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wastewater-based surveillance is an effective tool for disease monitoring and can provide early warning of outbreaks.
By Aniruddha Adiga, Jingyuan Chou, Gursharn Kaur, Andrew Warren, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Baltazar Espinoza, Bryan Lewis, Justin Crow, Alexandra Lorentz, Rekha Singh, Madhav Marathe