arXiv:2504. 12594v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conditional independence testing is a critical component of feature screening, invariant statistical models, and causal discovery.
arXiv:2512. 19510v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conditional independence (CI) is central to causal inference, feature selection, and graphical modeling, yet it is untestable in many settings without additional assumptions.
arXiv:2606. 18011v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Constraint-based causal discovery relies on repeated conditional independence tests, but fast nonparametric tests often sacrifice calibration, especially when variables depend on the conditioning set through nonlinear relationships.
arXiv:2608. 11156v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional Independence (CI) tests are the statistical engine of constraint-based causal discovery: in algorithms such as PC (Peter-Clark) and FCI (Fast Causal Inference), skeleton pruning and key orientations follow directly from CI decisions.
arXiv:2608.30644v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We develop a marginal coordinate test for regression with Euclidean predictors and a random-object response in a separable metric space. The goal is...
arXiv:2602. 01135v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive models trained via next-token prediction implicitly learn the conditional independence structure of their data-generating process.
The paper introduces a model‑agnostic inference framework for partially identified causal effects that leverages covariate information without requiring discrete covariates or accurate conditional distribution estimates. Using duality theory for optimal transport, the method delivers uniformly valid inference in randomized experiments, is doubly robust in observational settings, achieves asymptotic unbiasedness when nuisance parameters converge semiparametrically, and allows multiplier‑bootstrap selection of covariates and models while remaining computationally efficient. Empirical applications show the approach consistently narrows identified sets and confidence intervals without imposing extra structural assumptions.
arXiv:2601. 02322v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A common approach to out-of-distribution prediction restricts models to causal or invariant covariates to avoid spurious associations that may change across environments.
arXiv:2606. 00278v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For many real-world systems, causal ground truth is difficult to obtain, making claims about causal effects hard to assess.
arXiv:2607. 09449v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian causal discovery is widely used for its ability to quantify epistemic uncertainty over directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) through posterior inference.
arXiv:2609.27256v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study causal discovery where each node is a random function. Previous studies on this topic rely on structural assumptions, e.g., linearity or non...
arXiv:2609.25980v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic time series foundation models (TSFMs) provide coordinate-wise predictive distributions, but these marginals do not determine a joint dist...
arXiv:2501. 02672v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Granger causality (GC) is widely used to infer directed relationships in time-series data.